The Weather Outlook

Remove ads from site

KevBrads1
11 February 2019 12:25:04

Remember this spell well from mid February 1994, it end up turinng into a forecaster's nightmare. Forecasters or the models at the time had overestimated the Atlantic pushing the block away and it led to forecasts changing almost daily, it really was an interesting spell of weather as this was the only source open to many people  to watch these BBC forecasts for developments. John Kettley did two consecutive Countryfile forecasts during this period. The first one (13th Feb), he had the Atlantic smashing through with the block gone by Thursday. The second one (20th Feb), he admitted that the Atlantic didn't really make it but he was more confident this time but even then the Atlantic breakthrough was still overestimated and it wasn't really until the Friday it finally happened. 

My records show that it was the Thursday when John Kettley had the Atlantic has totally smashed through as not as cold, whilst all other days were varying degrees of cold being mentioned. 

Saturday night was a disappointment, I expected to see snow here when I woke up Sunday but infact the low was further SW and didn't make it as far as here. Sounds familiar? 

It snowed on 8 days in this period. The Tuesday night of the 22nd February had the snow finally arriving and I went to bed thinking it would have turned milder with rain as the forecast suggested. Infact when I woke up, there was a good covering and it was still snowing. It snowed until mid afternoon when it suddenly stopped. It wasn't until mid Friday afternoon (25th Feb) the thaw finally arrived here and the snow had turned to rain.

BBC forecasts from 11th to 13th February 1994

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RzD2ww2kKBU

17th February 1994

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qWx9jSDVqg0

18th February 1994

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oK_ZaLpQTe8

19th February 1994

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FMUnYyF_BaA

20th to 23rd February 1994

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kffzBxXiDsU


MANCHESTER SUMMER INDEX for 2021: 238

Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site

http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgrSD1BwFz2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists

Nick Gilly
11 February 2019 17:53:45
Thanks Kevin. I'm not sure if I remember that cold spell specifically. I think February 1991 sticks in my mind more.

One question. On the forecast from the 17th the chart shows the front moving in which was forecast to bring in the mild Atlantic air (17 to 26 secs on the video). My question is, why was it labelled as a cold front? Surely it would have been a warm front, no?

KevBrads1
11 February 2019 18:38:25

Here are screenshot comparisons

John Kettley's forecast from 13th for 17th Feb

17th Feb

 

John Kettley's forecast from 20th February for 23rd February 

Michael Fish forecast from 21st February for 23rd 

22nd February for 23rd

 

Forecast from 20th February for 24th February

23rd February for 24th February


MANCHESTER SUMMER INDEX for 2021: 238

Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site

http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgrSD1BwFz2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists

richardabdn
11 February 2019 20:02:17

Not a month I enjoyed. In fact it was vile - dullest and wettest since 1923. At least the previous November, December, and to a lesser extent, January had delivered.

It was the end of the month that sticks in the mind. 28th was one of the foulest days I can remember with driving wind, rain and sleet


Aberdeen: The only place that misses out on everything

2023 - The Year that's Constantly Worse than a Bad November

2024 - 2023 without the Good Bits

2025 - The Weekend Curse hell intensifies

Joe Bloggs
11 February 2019 22:33:11

Interesting Kevin! 

Good to see that frontal snow is possible here when the wind is from the SE. Doesn’t seem to happen very often.

12cm of snow in Crosby - not bad. 

Saint Snow
12 February 2019 14:53:55

I have no specific memory of this event.

It was the first month me and the [now] wife moved in together, too. I do remember a modest snowfall soon after we moved in, so it may have been this one - but you make it sound more exciting than it was on the ground for me.

I'm still struggling to place a snowfall that must have happened in the mid-late 90's. It followed a cold snap/spell, as the ground was frozen. The snow started around 10am on a weekday (I was in work) and began to stick immediately. It turned really heavy quickly and, by lunchtime, it was probably getting on for 6" deep. We (I worked with my missus back then) had to nip home at lunch (about 5 miles east of St Helens) and we got less than halfway in over half an hour with gridlock everywhere, before turning back as we needed to return to work. Just as we got back, we were told that we could leave early. Damn those pre-mobile phone days! By 5pm, the snow had turned to rain and everything was washed away by midnight.


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

Remove ads from site