The Weather Outlook

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Rob K
30 January 2019 08:14:16

 

After what happenned only last year, and the Met Office’s forecast for mid-late Feb, I’m not sure how you can say this coming Thursday is the ‘last chance saloon’ for winter.  

Originally Posted by: Chiltern Blizzard 

well the GEFS now take us out to Feb 14 with no sign of anything interesting. Yes we could end up with something in late Feb but that is very much an outside bet at this stage. I would put money on the Feb CET being at least 1C above average to round off a notably mild winter that has made mugs out of long range forecasters everywhere. 


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Solar Cycles
30 January 2019 08:15:18
My incessant moaning has finally paid off, snow showers moved in around 3am last night depositing 5cm on the ground. Currently light snow/grauple still falling. 😎
Snowedin
30 January 2019 08:15:31

Decent covering laughing

 


Buckley NE Wales 650ft ASL
marting
30 January 2019 08:18:53
About an inch / 3 cm in Birkenhead - not quite like Buckley!! But something at least.

Martin


Martin

Greasby, Wirral.

Saint Snow
30 January 2019 08:23:52

Not a huge fall, but 1-2cm across all surfaces.

Believe places just to the north and east have had it much better, seems like the streamer concentrated snow on a corridor 

Predictably pathetic travel chaos.


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

johncs2016
30 January 2019 08:28:35

Well, I wasn't expecting that!!

I have just woke up a short time ago, and noticed that we at long, long last have a dusting of snow on the ground here in the north of Edinburgh which must have came about from a snow shower or a cluster of snow showers which moved through this area during the early hours of this morning.

Make no bones about it. This has still been a very poor winter for snow in this part of the world even with that. However, we can at least now say that this winter won't be completely snowless here as it had been until then which at least, is better than nothing at all.

 


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

P+ve Giant
30 January 2019 08:29:34

Light snow, a couple of cm on all surfaces, temp. at -1.7 C.


John.
andy-manc
30 January 2019 08:43:23

Big surprise today. The most snow we have had for a long time. I'd say 3-4 inches. Sounds like we got lucky judging off other reports very nearby on here 

Tim A
30 January 2019 08:45:27
Can see some of that illusive white stuff on the hills in a number of directions. The Dales look white, as do the hills to the west of Haworth over towards Solar Cycles way.

Incredibly frustrating here, but not a let down as snow was never forecast. Apart from on the crude 0.25 resolution GFS precipitation charts. They should be outlawed and never posted. If they are wrong at 6 hours, then what is the point. Also looks like GFS got the low track for tomorrow the most wrong, but obviously not a certainty until tomorrow, but it has backtracked the most.


Tim

NW Leeds

187m asl

 My PWS 

Shropshire
30 January 2019 08:47:56

Heavy snow as the trough sinks South, not much more to come.

 


From December 27th 2020, zonality will be banned from mixing with the UK. We appreciate that this may come as a shock to younger people and old Uncle Barty. This ban will last for a minimum of ten days.
tallyho_83
30 January 2019 08:48:51

Recent showers of sleet with occasional snowflakes mixed in here at Exeter Quay. BUT what's frustrating is that a few miles away over small hills - the snow has settled giving a light dusting over hills as you can see in below pics - taken looking westwards and behind that hill is Haldon Hill and behind that is a webcam of DARTMOOR in 2nd pic! Just shows you what a tiny bit of elevation does!?

 

Meanwhile Dartmoor has enjoyed a light covering!


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

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Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

dagspot
30 January 2019 08:54:39
a surprise fall for West of Scotland. Thought inland shower activity was done last night. Fresh 2-3cm fall here overnight
Neilston 600ft ASL
Snowedin
30 January 2019 09:06:23
Snow showers on and off. Have approx 3 inches now. Looks like another shower beefing up.
Buckley NE Wales 650ft ASL
jhall
30 January 2019 09:10:40

Yesterday evening, the snow reverted to rain or sleet after an hour or so, but this morning we still have pretty much a full cover on the grass of a cm or so, albeit a rather tatty one. I think it's enough to meet the official definition of a day with snow lying: 50% or more of the ground covered at 9 am.


Cranleigh, Surrey
tallyho_83
30 January 2019 09:22:31
Temp risen but sleet turning more to snow - looks like we have a wintry shower' streamer?
Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

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Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Joe Bloggs
30 January 2019 09:37:25

Just been for a walk. Most snow here since Jan 2010. Very chuffed, and very impressed with the performance of EURO4 and GFS. They got the streamer spot on. 

https://flic.kr/p/2doDgAs

https://flic.kr/p/2doDgE5

 

Gary L
30 January 2019 09:42:17

Just been for a walk. Most snow here since Jan 2010. Very chuffed, and very impressed with the performance of EURO4 and GFS. They got the streamer spot on. 

https://flic.kr/p/2doDgAs

https://flic.kr/p/2doDgE5

Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs 

Brilliant! Much less here, probably 2 inches without measuring! We really need a good westerly component here in Saddleworth to pick these events up I think. There's a blob coming in off the Irish Sea that looked promising but will almost certainly miss us now.

Saint Snow
30 January 2019 10:04:43

That fairly large blob of PPN moving in off the Irish Sea looks like it's heading straight for Manchester, although too far east to hit MBY at home.

I've got to travel to Rawtenstall this afternoon. Should be clear, but expecting some picturesque scenes and rubbish traffic.


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

andy-manc
30 January 2019 10:22:31

My journey to work was slow and the roads were poor. I'd say there was about 3 inches of snow back home which I'm really happy with and is the most we have had for at least 3 years. My three year old has built his first snowman and is loving it! Sadly, I have to work. I would love a snow day.

Joe Bloggs
30 January 2019 10:22:45

Quite a good video to show had bad conditions were earlier

https://twitter.com/NFLGirlUK/status/1090504512975130624?s=20

Joe Bloggs
30 January 2019 10:27:39

That fairly large blob of PPN moving in off the Irish Sea looks like it's heading straight for Manchester, although too far east to hit MBY at home.

I've got to travel to Rawtenstall this afternoon. Should be clear, but expecting some picturesque scenes and rubbish traffic.

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

I think it is going to miss Manchester to the SW - it may clip places like Altrincham, don't think it will reach the city centre. Very close call though and I could be wrong.

andy-manc
30 January 2019 10:33:01

 

I think it is going to miss Manchester to the SW - it may clip places like Altrincham, don't think it will reach the city centre. Very close call though and I could be wrong.

Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs 

Looking promising-ish for MBY although I'm not there. Looks like it may go through the Wigan borough

Joe Bloggs
30 January 2019 10:40:05

 

Looking promising-ish for MBY although I'm not there. Looks like it may go through the Wigan borough

Originally Posted by: andy-manc 

Looking at the latest trajectory I do think south Manc will get it. 

Hope it’s snow and isn’t sleet or rain. 

Saint Snow
30 January 2019 10:59:16

 

Looking promising-ish for MBY although I'm not there. Looks like it may go through the Wigan borough

Originally Posted by: andy-manc 

 

The heavier snow last night seemed to track between the A570/M58/M6 and the M61. This one likewise.

This clump, sadly, looks to be diminishing quickly after landfall, although there's more showers bubbling in the Irish Sea 


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

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