The Weather Outlook

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David M Porter
24 January 2019 21:02:46

Who's to say we won't be locked into a pattern of several cold/ below average days with snow chances from the NW interspersed with a couple of days of 'less cold' conditions?

Models picked up on the coming mild couple of days reasonably early on. Naturally some folk jumped to the conclusion that it spelled the end of our cold snap and perhaps our winter. Now we're looking at a return to cold next week with further chances of snow. Nothing widespread or overly disruptive for many I grant you, but it's better than mild zonal mush.

I'm not going to get overly concerned about less cold weather at t168 given it a) probably won't happen like that anyway and b) it'll might be a short-lived blip and we return to cold into Feb.

Originally Posted by: SJV 

Good post, Steve.

As MM said, it seems that this winter, the models have rarely if ever been proved correct when it comes to solutions shown for more than 5 days ahead. One only has to look at what happened at the end of last week just as it seemed there was something of a consensus beginning to build for an easterly spell this week.

There are not normal times in the world of model output, not by any stretch of the imagination.


Lenzie, Glasgow

"A body of men holding themselves accountable to nobody ought not to be trusted by anybody." – Thomas Paine

Brian Gaze
24 January 2019 21:03:17

I'll open a new thread at 21:05.


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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