The Weather Outlook

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johncs2016
17 December 2018 08:50:10
In the end, a total of 5.6 mm of rain fell during yesterday at Edinburgh Gogarbank along with 4.0 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

In addition to that, a further 0.2 mm of rain has fallen during today so far at Edinburgh Gogarbank as at 8am this morning, along with 0.4 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

For Edinburgh Gogarbank, that takes this month's total so far to 27.6 mm, the total for this winter so far to 27.6 mm and the total for this year so far to 606.0 mm as at 8am this morning.

For the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, that takes this month's total so far to 25.6 mm, the total for this winter so far to 25.6 mm and the total for this year so far to 589.0 mm as at 8am this morning.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

ARTzeman
17 December 2018 15:47:18

0.6 mm Today.

57.o This Month. 




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

ARTzeman
18 December 2018 14:10:51

8.4 mm  Today.

65.4mm To Date. 




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

sunny coast
18 December 2018 15:15:05
just topped 100mm here this month now after the weekend deluge of 22 mm sat and a further 11mm sunday evening . More to come within next few hours. other local statins such as willingdon and Ratton at similar levels. what looked like being a dry year looks like becoming at least average or slightly above if this pattern persists
Russwirral
18 December 2018 15:34:37
78mm here on the wirral... unless it dries out we are heading to a wetter than average month.
ARTzeman
18 December 2018 16:12:51

12.3 mm Today

69.3 mm To Date.




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Snow Hoper
18 December 2018 16:47:32

39.2mm.


Going to war over religion is like killing each other to see who has the better imaginary friend.

Home : Mid Suffolk.

48m Asl

ARTzeman
18 December 2018 21:30:37

16.2 mm Today.

73.2 mm To Date.




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

richardabdn
18 December 2018 23:34:24

Surprisingly low total of only 45.2mm (112% of average). Still the wettest start to winter since 2012 but at least then there had been some snow as well. Seems so much worse  this year because it's raining practically every day and the ground is completely saturated with virtually zero evaporation due to the ridiculous frequency of damp wind from the SE. 

Also combined with the wet end to November makes for one horrific spell. 107.2mm (146%) over the last 30 days with only six days failing to record rain. Simply vile 


Aberdeen: The only place that misses out on everything

2023 - The Year that's Constantly Worse than a Bad November

2024 - 2023 without the Good Bits

2025 - The Weekend Curse hell intensifies

ARTzeman
19 December 2018 08:30:57

75.0 mm To Date.




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

johncs2016
19 December 2018 09:17:57

Surprisingly low total of only 45.2mm (112% of average). Still the wettest start to winter since 2012 but at least then there had been some snow as well. Seems so much worse  this year because it's raining practically every day and the ground is completely saturated with virtually zero evaporation due to the ridiculous frequency of damp wind from the SE. 

Also combined with the wet end to November makes for one horrific spell. 107.2mm (146%) over the last 30 days with only six days failing to record rain. Simply vile 

Originally Posted by: richardabdn 

Our totals here in Edinburgh are even lower than that for this month and it really does look as though this is the only part of the UK where this month is running slightly drier than average so far during this month.

In the end, a total of 3.2 mm of rain fell during yesterday at Edinburgh Gogarbank along with 2.4 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

In addition to that, a further 0.2 mm of rain has fallen during today so far at he botanic gardens in Edinburgh as at 8am this morning, but with Edinburgh Gogarbank remaining completely dry so far as I write.

For Edinburgh Gogarbank, that takes this month's total so far to 30.8 mm, the total for this winter so far to 30.8 mm and the total for this year so far to 609.2 mm as at 8am this morning.

For the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, that takes this month's total so far to 28.2 mm, the total for this winter so far to 28.2 mm and the total for this year so far to 591.6 mm as at 8am this morning.

We are well over halfway through the month now, but we still have had less than a half of the average December average rainfall at both of those stations so far, and the same is even true for the number of official rain days at Edinburgh Gogarbank. In addition to that, we have already had more completely dry days than what we had during the whole of November so that when you add all of that up, we can't really refer to this as a wet month in any way in this part of the world.

However, I do know that this is not the case in the rest of the UK but there has to be some scientific reason as why our rainfall patterns during this month have been so different from that in the rest of the UK, and why we have just not been getting as much rain as the rest of the UK (which I can see, even also includes Aberdeen) during this month. Hopefully, someone who is more knowledgeable than me on this matters will enlighten me on that one.

Meanwhile, here is the latest water scarcity report from SEPA who have stated that an early warning is still in place for the east of Scotland for possible issues which could yet result if the amounts of rainfall during this winter are not enough for groundwater levels to properly recover from those earlier summer droughts.

The report says that whilst groundwater levels have recovered to a certain extent, this is variable across the country and in some places, groundwater levels in the east of Scotland continue to be at record low levels. Basically, everything hinges on the rainfall patterns during this winter in terms of whether a full recovery of these groundwater levels occur or not, and there are two aspects of that which I am rather concerned about.

First of all, the forecast models are pointing towards a build of high pressure at around Christmas which could then last into the New Year, and that will only result in it becoming drier overall if that happens. Secondly, the upcoming SSW event which has been modelled to happen at Christmas may well eventually take us into a really cold pattern of weather further down the line.

That will no doubt please a lot of cold weather lovers but if it is colder than average at this time of year, it is also likely to be drier than average as well. So, those are two aspects which could well lead to a much drier outlook for the rest of this winter and that could yet lead to worrying times ahead for those flagging groundwater levels here in the east of Scotland.

 


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

AJ*
  • AJ*
  • Advanced Member
19 December 2018 10:17:52

50.5mm this month to date.  Fairly wet.


Angus; one of the Kent crew on TWO.

Tonbridge, 40m (131ft) asl

POD
  • POD
  • Advanced Member
19 December 2018 17:32:14

12.2mm today, 97.2mm to date.


Pat, Crawley Down, West Sussex, 121m asl.
Snow Hoper
20 December 2018 06:16:33

43.6mm.


Going to war over religion is like killing each other to see who has the better imaginary friend.

Home : Mid Suffolk.

48m Asl

sunny coast
20 December 2018 11:40:31
up to 135 mm here now after very wet tue evening and a day and night of heavy downpours in last 24 hours wettest month for some time here
ARTzeman
20 December 2018 13:37:29

6.6 mm Today

82.5 mm To date.




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

ARTzeman
21 December 2018 07:58:51

7.8 mm Yesterday 

3.0 mm Today

86.7 mm This Month.




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

johncs2016
21 December 2018 08:48:40
In the end, a total of 1.2 mm of rain fell during yesterday at Edinburgh Gogarbank along with 1.2 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

However, today has been completely dry so far at both of those stations as at 8am this morning.

For Edinburgh Gogarbank, that takes this month's total so far to 32.2 mm, the total for this winter so far to 32.2 mm and the total for this year so far to 610.6 mm as at 8am this morning.

For the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, that takes this month's total so far to 29.4 mm, the total for this winter so far to 29.4 mm and the total for this year so far to 592.8 mm as at 8am this morning.

I have been scouring the internet to find out if there is anywhere else in the UK which has actually been as dry as, or drier than here during this month and it turns out that there are a few such locations, mainly in the north of Scotland although there aren't too many of such locations. These locations which I have found include Tain Bridge with just 23.8 mm of rain being recorded during month so far.

However, the driest places which I have found are Kinloss with 9.2 mm of rain, and Lossiemouth with just a measly 7.8 mm of rain being recorded during this month so far.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Snow Hoper
21 December 2018 14:02:35

50.4mm.


Going to war over religion is like killing each other to see who has the better imaginary friend.

Home : Mid Suffolk.

48m Asl

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
22 December 2018 07:47:24

The Lavant, the local winterbourne, is showing some signs of activity but I suspect it's local surface water as the level of local groundwater is still dropping (you would of course expect some delay there even after heavy rain)

https://www.bgs.ac.uk/research/groundwater/datainfo/levels/sites/ChilgroveHouse.html

Lots of flooded fields in the Western Rother valley.


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

ARTzeman
22 December 2018 08:53:49

6.0 mm Yesterday 

0.3 mm Today

90.0 mm This Month




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

johncs2016
22 December 2018 10:42:09
In the end, a total of 0.8 mm of rain fell during yesterday at Edinburgh Gogarbank along with 1.0 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

In addition to that, Edinburgh Gogarbank has been completely dry so far, but a total of 0.2 mm of rain has fallen during today so far as at 10am this morning.

For Edinburgh Gogarbank, that takes the total for this month so far to 33.0 mm, the total for this winter so far to 33.0 mm and the total for this year so far to 611.4 mm as at 10am this morning.

For the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, that takes the total for this month so far to 30.6 mm, the total for this winter so far to 30.6 mm and the total for this year so far to 594.0 mm as at 10am this morning.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Snow Hoper
23 December 2018 00:02:01

55.8mm.


Going to war over religion is like killing each other to see who has the better imaginary friend.

Home : Mid Suffolk.

48m Asl

ARTzeman
23 December 2018 08:41:47

0.3 mm Yesterday

2.1 mm Today

92.1 mm To Date.




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

ARTzeman
23 December 2018 16:56:26

2.7 mm Today.

92.7 mm To Date.




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

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