The Weather Outlook

Remove ads from site

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
27 July 2018 16:07:23

It's rained in Chichester! So end of drought, even if it was only just enough to lay the dust. Quite a heavy downpour just along the coast toward Littlehampton, though.


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

splinter
27 July 2018 19:03:51

Thunderstorm and torrential rain here in Croydon this afternoon broke the drought. A local weather station in nearby Kenley says 12mm has fallen. The first rainfall this month, adds to less than 1mm in June.

It's first time I've seen rain in over two months. I didn't see the rain fall in June, just a bit of dampness one morning. I missed the storms in London on the bank holiday weekend in May as I was in Scotland. I was starting to miss it!


Croydon, South London
Norwich Nick
27 July 2018 20:42:13
Finally rain! first for 41 days...
Elstevio
27 July 2018 21:32:10
Rain at last but only 0.8mm so far and seems to blown through very quickly. Drought technically over but doubt the dust will be gone for long if this was it.
Aylsham, North Norfolk

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
27 July 2018 21:35:34

Done it again!  Drove into town and heavy rain.  Got back home, dry as a bone!  I’ve seen plenty of lightning, heard loads of thunder, but still no rain!  I’m either just too Far East, or I’m just too far West and miss the rain by only a couple of miles. 


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.

four
  • four
  • Advanced Member
27 July 2018 21:38:46
With 63mm this month now, - and more expected the next couple of days - July here will be near average 77mm.
Lionel Hutz
27 July 2018 22:17:01

The drought is definitely at an end here. As of yesterday morning, I had recorded around 8mm in June and 4mm in July. However, we saw 4.8mm yesterday evening and we've had 18mm so far this evening and it's still raining. And there's lots more rain to come this weekend. To be honest, up to now, I have listened to forecasts of fine weather with a little bit of dread because the countryside here was burning up. Now that we've got the rain, however, I'm hoping that this is just a blip. Now that we have a bit of moisture back in the ground, I will enjoy the sunshine guilt free! 


Lionel Hutz

Nr.Waterford , S E Ireland

68m ASL



Stolen Snowman
27 July 2018 22:33:07

Last night’s thunderstorms again miraculously managed to skirt past, this time by about 15 miles to the east. Everything’s still bone dry and deep cracks have appeared in the garden.

However tomorrow will be a different story...


Statistics prove that the period just after records began witnessed some of the most extreme weather ever recorded. Records were being broken on a frequency that has not been repeated since.

Posting live from a pub somewhere in Burton upon Trent

Weathermac
27 July 2018 23:04:49
We along with large swathes of central england have somehow managed to avoid all the storms so far with nothing much showing up on the radar to the south unless something appears .
xioni2
27 July 2018 23:15:39

59 day absolute drought ended with a grand total of 3mm.

The smell was good, but I haven't missed the rain at all!

 

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
28 July 2018 06:12:51

I’ve missed the storms by a whisker every time, although I’ve been within a stone’s throw because I’ve heard thunder and seen lightning.  But....  it is now raining steadily and has been for half an hour!  Useful rain that will soak in rather than run off.  

I could stand this all weekend just to give the earth a drink and dampen the forest floor to lessen the fire risk, providing we go back to hot sunny weather of course!!!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.

TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
28 July 2018 07:17:44
In a nice bit of symmetry, the rather shorter drought here in the Maconnais ended last night after a 36C stinker yesterday.

We’re back up to 33C+ tomorrow and virtually every day of the following fortnight, with very little rain forecast.

Around here usually gets around 100mm in May (wettest month of the year), 80 in June, 60 in July and August, almost all in thunderstorms. So far 55mm in May, 35mm in June and around 20mm in July. Not as severe as U.K., but the high temperatures mean it browns off quickly.


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
marting
28 July 2018 07:22:36
Managed to stay dry here so far, everything breaks up just before it arrives despite it showing us with a shower earlier.

Martin


Martin

Greasby, Wirral.

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
28 July 2018 08:54:35

The steady rain only lasted for just over an hour.  Everywhere is dry again now with sunshine and a stiff breeze, which will unfortunately dry things out quickly.  Conditions this weekend look good for more rain though, so I’m hopeful.  

The local fire engine has just made a rare return to the station, hopefully this dampening down might give it, and the crew, a bit of respite!   


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.

Snow Hoper
28 July 2018 08:56:27

After 47 days with no rain July will now end up wetter than May and June combined


Going to war over religion is like killing each other to see who has the better imaginary friend.

Home : Mid Suffolk.

48m Asl

Jiries
29 July 2018 10:45:41

Today rain would ensure every area have rain and those that missed the storms on Friday would see their dry days tally back to 0.  Now is tall order to get back to over 50 days as it will be early Autumn by then and might not see this for a long time.  It easy to get long dry days in Spring but summer hard to get it because either you get a heatwave that often bring rain/storms while in Spring less risk and often HP stable days only.

picturesareme
29 July 2018 12:50:34

Thanks to this mornings rain (still falling) and the couple of mm's that fell the other night we are now approaching 25mm of rain - our July average is just over 30mm. So this month certainly won't be going down as a dry one.




picturesareme
29 July 2018 14:26:30
Curious as to what constitutes as a drought..

Here we have 20 days where rain falls in the summer months (june-august) on average..

That leaves 72 days where rain doesn't fall!!

115mm is the combined monthly totals average..

TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
29 July 2018 14:52:01
Mediterranean regions generally have below 30mm in the driest summer month. So the Portsmouth average (if it’s right) makes the area sub-Mediterranean, or at least would fobif it were warm enough. That’s about right actually - most of the South coast East if Dorset has 30-45mm in July on average. But temperature is important too. 30mm with maxes of low 20s isn’t the same as 30mm with maxes of low 30s.
Brockley, South East London 30m asl
picturesareme
29 July 2018 16:50:57

Mediterranean regions generally have below 30mm in the driest summer month. So the Portsmouth average (if it’s right) makes the area sub-Mediterranean, or at least would fobif it were warm enough. That’s about right actually - most of the South coast East if Dorset has 30-45mm in July on average. But temperature is important too. 30mm with maxes of low 20s isn’t the same as 30mm with maxes of low 30s.

Originally Posted by: TimS 

32mm for July but May is even dryer with an average of 28mm - these figures are from the met office for southsea which is part of Portsmouth.

Gray-Wolf
29 July 2018 18:32:37

Well we appear destined to rejoin the heat and , this time of year, Europe can be getting very hot so temps could start rising even higher?

I do hope this is not the flip side of the 'washout summer' years?

Another 6 summers of this will be rough for the countryside?

(Esp. if winters are equally blessed by H.P.?)


Koyaanisqatsi

ko.yaa.nis.katsi (from the Hopi language), n. 1. crazy life. 2. life in turmoil. 3. life disintegrating. 4. life out of balance. 5. a state of life that calls for another way of living.

VIRESCIT VULNERE VIRTUS

Stormchaser
29 July 2018 19:39:56

Only about 30 miles northwest of Portsmouth, my July long-term average is 49 mm so quite a difference over such a small distance. It's a reflection of the fact that our climatological westerlies tend to diverge at low levels along south-facing coasts, due to land friction causing a slight leftward shift of the air flow compared to that over the sea.

 

Now - here's a report of mine on the impact of the weekend's wet and windy weather on my locality:

The landscape is a strange collage of mainly dry artificial surfaces, slightly damp but still mostly brown grass, mainly withered or shrivelled vegetation, drifted leaf litter and a lot of fallen twigs along with a few downed branches.

Coupled with an air temp only just short of 20*C, it's as if we've time-jumped to a late October breakdown of an exceptionally dry first two months of autumn.

That's the thing about this drought-buster (or at least, reducer) - it was also a wind storm of unusual vigour for the time of year. An interesting side-effect has been the quick dry-out of the terrain. Hopefully enough water seeped through during this morning's moderate rainfall to put an end to the blight of the trees. The grass is already showing signs of response, with tiny little sprouts of green at the centre of each plant (if you ever wondered where those are exactly, now's the time to look!).

So after all that, this month now looks likely to finish somewhere between 13 and 15 mm here, depending on how many showers occur overnight and tomorrow. That's a ranking of between 4th and 7th out of the past 60 years. It was within 3 days of being the driest on record, but what can you do?

 

I'm very interested in seeing how much 'moisture inertia' there is to the conditions as we enter another dry and increasingly hot run of weather starting Tuesday. I expect that very breezy conditions tomorrow and Tuesday may mean the surface becomes bone-dry again pretty fast, and the subsurface will be subjected to a lot of extraction of water by thirsty plants, so I sense that there may not be much inertia at all... but I'm far from an expert on these details!


If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 

2025's Homeland Extremes:

T-Max: 32.0°C 12th Aug | T-Min: -5.4°C 4th Jan | Wettest Day: 31.8 mm 18th Dec | Ice Days: None

Keep Calm and Forecast On

Elstevio
29 July 2018 20:50:02
Updated rainfall totals.

May 2018 14mm

June 2018 3mm

July 2018 4mm (in the last 2 days).

Recent rain welcome but strong wind last 2 days has dried everywhere out already.


Aylsham, North Norfolk

RobR
  • RobR
  • Advanced Member
30 July 2018 07:07:12

Is there anywhere that avoided rain over the weekend that is still in drought?


Winter 23/24 in Nantwich

Days Snow Falling: 4

Days Snow Lying: 1

Deepest Snowfall: 3rd December 23 (2cm)

Winter 22/23 in Nantwich

Days Snow Falling: 4

Days Snow Lying: 2

Deepest Snowfall: 10th March (3cm)

Latest Snowfall: 10th March

Winter 21/22 in Nantwich

Days Snow Falling: 3

Days Snow Lying: 1

Deepest Snowfall: 28th November (3cm)

Latest Snowfall: 31st March

Winter 20/21 in Solihull

Days Snow Falling: 21

Days Snow Lying: 8

Deepest Snowfall: 24th January (9cm)

Latest Snowfall: 12th April

Winter 19/20 in Stoke

Days Snow Falling: 5

Days Snow Lying: 2

Deepest Snowfall: 10th Feb (5cm)

Winter 18/19 in Stoke

Days Snow Falling: 6

Days Snow Lying: 6

Deepest Snowfall: 29th Jan (3cm)

Winter 17/18 in Stoke

Days Snow Falling: 27

Days Snow Lying: 24

Deepest Snowfall: 18th March 2018 (10cm)

The Beast from the East
30 July 2018 12:28:07

Is there anywhere that avoided rain over the weekend that is still in drought?

Originally Posted by: RobR 

No, so the record will have to wait for another year or maybe 40!

 


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

Remove ads from site