The Weather Outlook

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DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
03 July 2018 05:27:02

 

No Heathrow was @ 31.8C :)

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 

The 31.1 at Hurn (ie Bournemouth Airport) is the national max quoted on the MetO website this morning


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

Shropshire
03 July 2018 05:54:04

 

That is what makes this so interesting, day to day it changes and not the usual suspects (minus Porthmadog).

Originally Posted by: RobR 

Yes much better than the plume type warmth that we've tended to see in more recent summers past, where the West often never sees the heat, Central areas for a day or two, the SE for a bit longer then a washout from the Atlantic. 


From December 27th 2020, zonality will be banned from mixing with the UK. We appreciate that this may come as a shock to younger people and old Uncle Barty. This ban will last for a minimum of ten days.
doctormog
03 July 2018 05:59:38

 

The 31.1 at Hurn (ie Bournemouth Airport) is the national max quoted on the MetO website this morning

Originally Posted by: DEW 

The 31.8°C at Heathrow was the day before.


Gavin D
03 July 2018 08:07:01

A level 2 heatwave alert is in place for all regions in England expect the north-west and northeast. The warning is in place until Saturday but is expected to be extended.

Current watch level: Level 2 - Alert and Readiness

Issued at: 08:31 on Tue 3 Jul 2018

There is a 70 % probability of heatwave conditions between 0900 on Tuesday and 0700 on Saturday in parts of England.

Temperatures are expected to temporarily reduce a little night and day through the middle of this week, before lighter winds allow higher temperatures across more eastern areas of England during Thursday and to some extent during Friday. Relative to the alert issued yesterday, Monday 02 July, all areas of England are now on a level 2 alert - aside from Northwest and Northeast which remain below threshold. Southeast and Southwest have also been downgraded from level 2 from 3. This alert has been issued for the maximum duration possible. It is very likely to be extended for similar areas later this working week, provisionally Thursday or Friday as heat is expected to build towards the weekend and possibly during the following week. Even in areas that do not breach their alert criteria, the headline is that it is expected to remain largely dry, often sunny and very warm at times.

An update will be issued when the alert level changes in any region. Alerts are issued once a day by 0900 if required and are not subject to amendment in between standard issue times. Note that the details of the forecast weather are valid at the time of issue but may change over the period that an alert remains in force. These details will not be updated here unless the alert level also changes, the latest forecast details can be obtained at the following link: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/#?tab=map

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/heat-health/#?tab=heatHealth

redmoons
03 July 2018 09:24:30

 

The 31.8°C at Heathrow was the day before.

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

 

The high the day before was 32.2c, Gosport (1st July)


Maunder Minimum
03 July 2018 09:34:55

If this continues into August, it will be similar to 1976.

The difference in 1976 though is that the massive summer heatwave and drought followed a dry winter, so reservoir and ground water levels were already low, leading to early hosepipe bans and standpipes in many communities.

Thus far, England (though not NI) has not had hosepipe bans imposed, since reservoir levels are currently generally good - the question is, should the water companies pre-emptively impose hosepipe bans in any case, as a contingency?


New world order coming.
Rob K
03 July 2018 10:04:21
Despite the warmth, the wind has simply been too strong to enjoy it in the evenings in the last couple of days. Yesterday evening our patio parasol blew over, and it was impossible to have the windows open in the kids' rooms as the blinds were being blown all over the place. What happened to those still, warm sultry evenings?
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Arcus
03 July 2018 10:15:38

If this continues into August, it will be similar to 1976.

The difference in 1976 though is that the massive summer heatwave and drought followed a dry winter, so reservoir and ground water levels were already low, leading to early hosepipe bans and standpipes in many communities.

Thus far, England (though not NI) has not had hosepipe bans imposed, since reservoir levels are currently generally good - the question is, should the water companies pre-emptively impose hosepipe bans in any case, as a contingency?

Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 

Yes please. If it would stop the daily evening chorus of jet washer on Mercedes then I'm in.


Ben,

Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire

30m asl

LeedsLad123
03 July 2018 10:34:27

For some reason, while nearly everywhere in the UK has clear skies today, we have partly cloudy skies. The low cloud simply turned into cumulus rather than melting away entirely. I really don't get that.

In any case, it's 21C and certainly feels a lot cooler than it has been for the past 11 or so days. Tomorrow looks the same, with Thursday bringing a return to very warm conditions - though there's a good chance Wednesday will remain cloudy all day which is something we haven't seen for a good long while (and I'm not looking forward to it).


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Arcus
03 July 2018 10:50:40

For some reason, while nearly everywhere in the UK has clear skies today, we have partly cloudy skies. The low cloud simply turned into cumulus rather than melting away entirely. I really don't get that.

In any case, it's 21C and certainly feels a lot cooler than it has been for the past 11 or so days. Tomorrow looks the same, with Thursday bringing a return to very warm conditions.

Originally Posted by: LeedsLad123 

There's a very slow moving front tracking southward over the N. Sea today and tomorrow, and I suspect the increase in cloud today and forecast tomorrow is related to that. The front started life as a cold front, is then forecast to occlude, then a warm front by tomorrow... 


Ben,

Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire

30m asl

LeedsLad123
03 July 2018 11:10:11

 

There's a very slow moving front tracking southward over the N. Sea today and tomorrow, and I suspect the increase in cloud today and forecast tomorrow is related to that. The front started life as a cold front, is then forecast to occlude, then a warm front by tomorrow... 

Originally Posted by: Arcus 

Thanks for that. Of course something had to go and spoil things for us. 


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Jiries
03 July 2018 11:17:50

Despite the warmth, the wind has simply been too strong to enjoy it in the evenings in the last couple of days. Yesterday evening our patio parasol blew over, and it was impossible to have the windows open in the kids' rooms as the blinds were being blown all over the place. What happened to those still, warm sultry evenings?

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Same here too and stayed in often and no windows facing the game force winds was open only ajar while  rest opened.  not sure why is gale force winds under high pressure system and live far away from the coast.

Arcus
03 July 2018 11:17:56

 

Thanks for that. Of course something had to go and spoil things for us. 

Originally Posted by: LeedsLad123 

It's not too bad here now - some fair weather cumulus and long sunny spells. Tomorrow could be a bit grim in the morning, but the rest of the week and weekend looks better with the prospect of ditching the easterly drift at last.


Ben,

Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire

30m asl

LeedsLad123
03 July 2018 11:22:36

 

It's not too bad here now - some fair weather cumulus and long sunny spells. Tomorrow could be a bit grim in the morning, but the rest of the week and weekend looks better with the prospect of ditching the easterly drift at last.

Originally Posted by: Arcus 

It's the same here, typically this would be a perfectly nice day but I must admit I was enjoying those crystal clear skies we've become so accustomed to. 


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Bolty
03 July 2018 12:10:43
Slightly cooler today (just 23C at 13:00) but completely sunny once again. Absolutely no complaints from me.
Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

Tim A
03 July 2018 12:19:54
As above cooler today but still very pleasant .

21.1c with good sunny spells and a bit of patchy cloud.


Tim

NW Leeds

187m asl

 My PWS 

picturesareme
03 July 2018 13:12:33

 

The 31.8°C at Heathrow was the day before.

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

ah okay.. for some reason  it was showing mixed dates early this morning - yesterdays date with wrong info.

picturesareme
03 July 2018 13:14:39

 

 

The high the day before was 32.2c, Gosport (1st July)

Originally Posted by: redmoons 

Gosport doesn't have an official station...

Nearby Portsmouth did get very close to 32C though - indeed locally towards the city core it might have.

Super Cell
03 July 2018 15:16:23

 

It's the same here, typically this would be a perfectly nice day but I must admit I was enjoying those crystal clear skies we've become so accustomed to. 

Originally Posted by: LeedsLad123 

 

Cloudless here now. How can anyone complain about our weather at the moment?


Farnley/Pudsey Leeds

40m asl

Crepuscular Ray
03 July 2018 15:16:51
21 C today so a bit warmer than the last 4 days. Deep blue sky, blue sea with a distant grey bank of sea fog (haar) which has our name on it for later.
Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

johncs2016
03 July 2018 15:40:45
Even at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, the temperature has now reached 19.8ºC as at 4pm this afternoon. At my other local stations, today's highest temperatures are 21.4ºC at Edinburgh Gogarbank and 20ºC at Edinburgh Airport.

None of these temperatures are high enough to make today, the warmest day of this year so far or the warmest day of this summer so far. Nevertheless, these temperatures do mean that today will go down as the warmest day of this month so far at all three of my local stations.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Tim A
03 July 2018 16:29:12

Met Office automated forecasts for here suggest alot of cloud tomorrow at times well into the late afternoon.

Text forecast says:
'A warmer day for most, with early mist clearing eastern areas to reveal another dry day with long sunny periods. Perhaps cloudier and cooler at times in coastal districts. Maximum temperature 26 °

We will see which is right but i bet the automated. Not sure it will be warmer here tommorow.


Tim

NW Leeds

187m asl

 My PWS 

LeedsLad123
03 July 2018 17:11:57

Met Office automated forecasts for here suggest alot of cloud tomorrow at times well into the late afternoon.

Text forecast says:
'A warmer day for most, with early mist clearing eastern areas to reveal another dry day with long sunny periods. Perhaps cloudier and cooler at times in coastal districts. Maximum temperature 26 °

We will see which is right but i bet the automated. Not sure it will be warmer here tommorow.

Originally Posted by: Tim A 

Yeah, I love how their automated forecast says one thing and their text one another. 

I suspect tomorrow will either be totally cloudy or cloudy well into the afternoon. We reached a rounded 25C today and there is no way we'll reach that tomorrow without sunshine during the day - and  Even their 22C is optimistic imo.

The BBC forecast is equally as hopeless with contradicting text and automated forecasts.


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
SJV
03 July 2018 17:18:15

 

Yeah, I love how their automated forecast says one thing and their text one another. 

I suspect tomorrow will either be totally cloudy or cloudy well into the afternoon. We reached a rounded 25C today and there is no way we'll reach that tomorrow without sunshine during the day - and  Even their 22C is optimistic imo.

The BBC forecast is equally as hopeless with contradicting text and automated forecasts.

Originally Posted by: LeedsLad123 

I'm expecting quite a bit of sunshine tomorrow. The ICON 'cloudiness' output isn't too bad I've found; it goes for much of central England including southern Yorkshire to enjoy a dry and clear slot for much of the day. Not quite the case further north though.

LeedsLad123
03 July 2018 17:28:55

 

I'm expecting quite a bit of sunshine tomorrow. The ICON 'cloudiness' output isn't too bad I've found; it goes for much of central England including southern Yorkshire to enjoy a dry and clear slot for much of the day. Not quite the case further north though.

Originally Posted by: SJV 

ICON shows the cloud clearing by about 1pm here, but I'm still doubtful.

AROME shows it clearing by midday.

Guess we'll see.


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.

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