The Weather Outlook

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Hungry Tiger
01 June 2018 10:24:52

So what was the Hadley final figure.

 


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



ARTzeman
01 June 2018 10:39:24

Met office figure for May    13.3c.    Adjustment   of -0.2c. 15th Warmest on record.




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Hungry Tiger
01 June 2018 13:25:46

Met office figure for May    13.3c.    Adjustment   of -0.2c. 15th Warmest on record.

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 

That's pretty impressive.

 

 


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



Darren S
01 June 2018 21:40:18

Met office figure for May    13.3c.    Adjustment   of -0.2c. 15th Warmest on record.

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 

13.25C in fact. http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_mean_2018

 


Darren

Crowthorne, Berks (87m asl)

South Berks Winter Snow Depth Totals:

2023/24 0 cm; 2022/23 7 cm; 2021/22 1 cm; 2020/21 13 cm; 2019/20 0 cm; 2018/19 14 cm; 2017/18 23 cm; 2016/17 0 cm; 2015/16 0.5 cm; 2014/15 3.5 cm; 2013/14 0 cm; 2012/13 22 cm; 2011/12 7 cm; 2010/11 6 cm; 2009/10 51 cm

Global Warming
02 June 2018 09:33:26

Congratulations to redmoons who had the closest prediction this month with 13.20C.

The combined April / May CET is the equal 6th warmest on record

2011 12.00C
1892 11.70C
1798 11.65C
1865 11.60C
1788 11.60C
2007 11.55C
2018 11.55C

Despite the very cold March we still had the equal 40th warmest Spring on record. 2017 is of the course the warmest on record.

The warmest Apr / May / Jun CET averages are as follows:

1798 13.40C
1762 13.27C
1775 13.00C
1893 13.00C

To reach 13C this year we would need a June CET of 16.0C. To reach 13.4C we would need a June CET of 17.1C - i.e. we would need to beat 1976 by 0.1C.

 

springsunshine
02 June 2018 10:09:25

Congratulations to redmoons who had the closest prediction this month with 13.20C.

The combined April / May CET is the equal 6th warmest on record

2011 12.00C
1892 11.70C
1798 11.65C
1865 11.60C
1788 11.60C
2007 11.55C
2018 11.55C

Despite the very cold March we still had the equal 40th warmest Spring on record. 2017 is of the course the warmest on record.

The warmest Apr / May / Jun CET averages are as follows:

1798 13.40C
1762 13.27C
1775 13.00C
1893 13.00C

To reach 13C this year we would need a June CET of 16.0C. To reach 13.4C we would need a June CET of 17.1C - i.e. we would need to beat 1976 by 0.1C.

 

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 

There is every chance we could do that this year. Agree May was absolutly fantastic about the best the uk could ever hope for.Both bank holidays being scorching with plentyof sunshine. I wonder how long it will be before we get another bank holiday weekend like the last two,they certainly made up for the grim easter.

It seems like we bypassed spring this year one week the max temp was in the low teens then a week later it was in the mid 20`s.

Summer came early this year lets hope it doesn`t end early.

SEMerc
02 June 2018 11:29:43

Warmest May since records began 100 years ago.

I must say I'm surprised at this.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-44341030

Global Warming
02 June 2018 13:15:18

Warmest May since records began 100 years ago.

I must say I'm surprised at this.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-44341030

Originally Posted by: SEMerc 

Bear in mind they are only talking about maximum temperatures here not mean temperatures. 

For the CET series the maximum CET for May was 18.9C which actually is just short of the 19.0C set in 1992. The CET Max series goes back 140 years. The UK series goes back just over 100 years and for the UK as whole 2018 was just ahead of 1992.

Bertwhistle
04 June 2018 17:20:14

 

Bear in mind they are only talking about maximum temperatures here not mean temperatures. 

For the CET series the maximum CET for May was 18.9C which actually is just short of the 19.0C set in 1992. The CET Max series goes back 140 years. The UK series goes back just over 100 years and for the UK as whole 2018 was just ahead of 1992.

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 

Agreed; I posted a challenge to this slightly sensationalist Beeb coverage on the media thread the other day.

The CET is a more robust (over 300 years) and representative figure I would argue for England as a whole but, as you say, the key point here is that the maximum alone is not the best indicator of the warmth of the month as a whole. 


Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.

Global Warming
07 June 2018 20:59:10

Here are the charts for May and Spring

A very warm month in May and overall Spring came out above average despite a very cold start.

Huge deviation between the maximum and minimum anomalies this month. Maximum CET more than 2.5C above average and the second warmest on record. Minimum CET only 0.5C above average and that was due to a very warm end to the month.

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Global Warming
07 June 2018 21:00:45

Annual CET competition - May update

No change at the top as Darren S remains well clear with Stormchaser in second. Snoeshoe moves up to third with Gusty remaining in fourth

UserPostedImage

Link to full size table May CET

Bertwhistle
07 June 2018 21:07:13

Not completely ashamed of my 12th out of 45; hopefully I'll nudge up a bit in June? 


Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.

Darren S
07 June 2018 22:32:08

The only way is down. 


Darren

Crowthorne, Berks (87m asl)

South Berks Winter Snow Depth Totals:

2023/24 0 cm; 2022/23 7 cm; 2021/22 1 cm; 2020/21 13 cm; 2019/20 0 cm; 2018/19 14 cm; 2017/18 23 cm; 2016/17 0 cm; 2015/16 0.5 cm; 2014/15 3.5 cm; 2013/14 0 cm; 2012/13 22 cm; 2011/12 7 cm; 2010/11 6 cm; 2009/10 51 cm

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
10 June 2018 07:53:35

The only way is down. 

Originally Posted by: Darren S 

No it isn’t!  You could stick at the top. You have a good lead!  Glass half full Darren!  Well done!  

I’m happy to hang on in the top half of the table - just!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.

redmoons
10 June 2018 16:56:58

Congratulations to redmoons who had the closest prediction this month with 13.20C.

The combined April / May CET is the equal 6th warmest on record

2011 12.00C
1892 11.70C
1798 11.65C
1865 11.60C
1788 11.60C
2007 11.55C
2018 11.55C

Despite the very cold March we still had the equal 40th warmest Spring on record. 2017 is of the course the warmest on record.

The warmest Apr / May / Jun CET averages are as follows:

1798 13.40C
1762 13.27C
1775 13.00C
1893 13.00C

To reach 13C this year we would need a June CET of 16.0C. To reach 13.4C we would need a June CET of 17.1C - i.e. we would need to beat 1976 by 0.1C.

 

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 

Cheers GW, only just realised as I just got back from holiday. Stunning month after the cold winter :)


Gusty
13 June 2018 14:20:06

The only way is down. 

Originally Posted by: Darren S 

You are a consistent good predictor in this competition. You have proven your skill in this competition, having won it back in 2014/2015 ?

A runaway leader and hot favorite to take the 2018 title at this stage.

 

 


Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 

Join Kent Weather on Facebook.

https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



Darren S
13 June 2018 23:02:29

 

You are a consistent good predictor in this competition. You have proven your skill in this competition, having won it back in 2014/2015 ?

A runaway leader and hot favorite to take the 2018 title at this stage.

 

 

Originally Posted by: Gusty 

Thanks Steve, and Caz.

I'm wondering whether anyone has led the competition in a given year from April right through until the year end before? In my mind the lead seems to change hands quite a few times most years. It will only take one duff prediction to slip up, so I think staying where I am is quite a tall order.


Darren

Crowthorne, Berks (87m asl)

South Berks Winter Snow Depth Totals:

2023/24 0 cm; 2022/23 7 cm; 2021/22 1 cm; 2020/21 13 cm; 2019/20 0 cm; 2018/19 14 cm; 2017/18 23 cm; 2016/17 0 cm; 2015/16 0.5 cm; 2014/15 3.5 cm; 2013/14 0 cm; 2012/13 22 cm; 2011/12 7 cm; 2010/11 6 cm; 2009/10 51 cm

Global Warming
14 June 2018 21:34:31

 

Thanks Steve, and Caz.

I'm wondering whether anyone has led the competition in a given year from April right through until the year end before? In my mind the lead seems to change hands quite a few times most years. It will only take one duff prediction to slip up, so I think staying where I am is quite a tall order.

Originally Posted by: Darren S 

No they haven't. But the year you won Darren, in 2014, you went top in June and after dipping to second in July went back to the top in August and stayed there until the end of the year.

Nemi was also at the top from August to December in 2013.

In 2012 Brummie Snowman went top in April and was top for 6 months between April and December, dipping to 4th in May and 2nd in October and November. That is as close as anyone has come to being top from April through to the year end.

Whether Idle
14 June 2018 22:11:48

The only way is down. 

Originally Posted by: Darren S 

I echo other posters comments regarding your consistency, and would add that you are in a very strong position and can afford to not take too many risks - while your competitors will need to take risks,  to just catch you, with all the attendant probability of guessing the "wrong way".

 


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.

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