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http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2015121806/gfs-0-210.png?6
Euroslug on the way out on this run. very different to the 00z
Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East
The slug hangs in there. http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2015121806/gfs-0-348.png?6
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Lets be honest, we have a cold pool in the north atlantic and and warm mid atlantic. There is only ever going to be one outcome from that.
Originally Posted by: warrenb
Perhaps you could elaborate. A Meto spokesman was telling us in October that the cold pool could lead to a colder winter than average.
The North Atlantic cold pool, is not what is was and has weakened a lot.
Knowledge is power.
Duane.
Originally Posted by: Charmhills
Not if it hasn't started
Originally Posted by: Sevendust
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News
Look in the doubt we've wallowed, look at the leaders we've followed, look at the lies we've swallowed, and I don't want to hear no more
If this mornings ecm run comes off it would be a very wet Christmas One for the bin I think.
I'm still waiting for winter 2013/14 .......
Originally Posted by: Essan
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
LOL at ECM op. I think it was thrown in on purpose just to keep the site traffic going.
Odds on for a record breaking warm December
Classic
Looks pretty robust to me.
Well, two or three times a decade it does, anyway.
Which is what ????
You can't say that then leg it???
Clearly you can
Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L
Interesting ECM at day 10 but it's a big outlier.
Vs ENS anomalies
"Interesting ECM at day 10 but it's a big outlier. "
The Op may be an outlier, but hope springs eternal - I wouldn't trash it yet - let's see what further runs produce.
ECM op not a complete outlier at day 10. One or two even colder runs in the ensemble.
http://www.weathercast.co.uk/services/ensemble-forecast.html
Originally Posted by: some faraway beach
Trendsetter ?
Originally Posted by: Fothergill
LOL but not without interest- even if the ENS as a group are correct then the core of the high is drifting North towards Scandy. Remember the skew on these things- the result could be a cooler ESE flow.
A little more interest, and as SFB has just mentioned one or two quite cold stragglers in the mix.
Hmmm, seems this thread has overrun a little. Better start a new one before I get my knuckles rapped!
Closing this one shortly.
"A body of men holding themselves accountable to nobody ought not to be trusted by anybody." – Thomas Paine