NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
19 December 2023 15:17:09
Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

Got a couple of decent winters out of it, though¬†ūüėČ



Ah the big chill almost forgot that. TWO on the trot too. Brian would be happy with the extra footfall.
Vale of the Great Dairies
South Dorset
Elevation 60m 197ft
picturesareme
03 January 2024 11:20:11
I think an eruption is imminent in Iceland 
doctormog
03 January 2024 11:25:54
Originally Posted by: picturesareme 

I think an eruption is imminent in Iceland 



You may very well be right. I guess we will find out in the next few hours (or sooner).

Actually looking at the data the seismic activity seems to be a in a location distinct from the recent activity, so who knows!
picturesareme
03 January 2024 17:14:28
Originally Posted by: doctormog 

You may very well be right. I guess we will find out in the next few hours (or sooner).

Actually looking at the data the seismic activity seems to be a in a location distinct from the recent activity, so who knows!



Looks to have been false hope... Perhaps as it is close to the eruption site it's to do with the increasing ground deformation still going on? 
‚Äč
doctormog
03 January 2024 17:19:58
Originally Posted by: picturesareme 

Looks to have been false hope... Perhaps as it is close to the eruption site it's to do with the increasing ground deformation still going on? 
‚Äč



Yes, I suspect the ongoing inflation to the west has had a knock on effect. I would still think an eruption is likely the coming days or weeks.
Saint Snow
04 January 2024 14:12:42
I hope any major eruption waits until late summer'ish... to impact the following winter not the summer ūüėä

Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
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Hippydave
07 January 2024 09:37:25
Still nothing happening in Iceland although given all the activity an eruption on the peninsula seems highly likely at some point, whether from this magma intrusion or one further down the line. 

Ground uplift under the Svartsengi powerplant is still ongoing, which leads to a greater chance of the pressure building up to levels that trigger an eruption particularly as there's (presumably) a conduit of lower resistance there now following the first magma run and dyke formation. There's also the low chance of Grimsvotn erupting given the uptick in activity there although that's a low chance from what I've read (probably a good thing as most of that volcano's eruptions are explosive due to where it's situated).  

All in all interesting from where I'm sitting but rather more concerning for those affected. It's also a shame to see people are cancelling trips to Iceland due to the current unrest. In terms of the peninsula, unless something erupts around the coast I don't think the chances of an ash rich eruption are high and I'd have thought there's plenty more interesting things to do in Iceland beyond sitting in the Blue Lagoon!

Edit: If anyone is checking the Iceland stuff out and hasn't seen it:-
https://vafri.is/quake/#close 

Is a really useful website - shows earthquakes and if you use the 'kort' dropdown and 'gps maelar' you can see the GPS stations and click on them to check out movement and uplift. Svartsengi being the one closest to the magma intrusion. (Shows as a little red square, easier to click on them if you zoom right in). 
Home: Tunbridge Wells
Work: Tonbridge
doctormog
14 January 2024 06:05:10
It looks like there is a large swarm of quakes ongoing currently (in Iceland). I wonder if it means an eruption is imminent.

Worryingly much of the activity is now close to Grindavik.
Windy Willow
14 January 2024 07:38:49
Originally Posted by: doctormog 

It looks like there is a large swarm of quakes ongoing currently (in Iceland). I wonder if it means an eruption is imminent.

Worryingly much of the activity is now close to Grindavik.

i just checked it and that's an awful big swarm! Pretty impressive, I don' believe I've seen a swarm of this magnitude so far. At least not recently.
119.4 m /391.7 feet asl
Sunny Dartford, NW Kent

Don't feed the Trolls!! When starved of attention they return to their dark caves or the dark recesses of bridges and will turn back to stone, silent again!
doctormog
14 January 2024 08:01:56
An eruption has just started.
Roger Parsons
14 January 2024 08:12:45
Updates: Icelandic Met Office
Updated 14 January at 06:15 UTC
At around 03:00 UTC today, an intense series of earthquakes began at the Sundhn√ļksg√≠gar crater row.¬†
At the time of publication, over 200 earthquakes have been measured in the area, and the seismicity has moved towards the town of Grindavík. 
So far, the largest recorded earthquake is 3.5 in magnitude, and it was measured at 04:07 UTC at Hagafell. 
https://en.vedur.is/about-imo/news/ 
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
doctormog
14 January 2024 08:13:22
There‚Äôs a nice live feed here:¬†https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=804nPrAUAxg ¬†
Chunky Pea
14 January 2024 08:56:55
Very sad that it is right outside Grindavik.
Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 


"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
--Roger P, 12/Oct/2022
doctormog
14 January 2024 09:01:01
Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 

Very sad that it is right outside Grindavik.



Yes unfortunately it is dangerously close.
Windy Willow
14 January 2024 10:40:39
I've seen that this new fissure may be 400m from the town of Grindavik and it looks like a warehouse type building may also be smothered in lava in the next few hours, judging from one of the live feeds.
119.4 m /391.7 feet asl
Sunny Dartford, NW Kent

Don't feed the Trolls!! When starved of attention they return to their dark caves or the dark recesses of bridges and will turn back to stone, silent again!
Chunky Pea
14 January 2024 12:35:33
Not sure if was there already but a smaller fissure seems to have opened up very close to the northern edge of the town. 
Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 


"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
--Roger P, 12/Oct/2022
Windy Willow
14 January 2024 12:45:40
Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 

Not sure if was there already but a smaller fissure seems to have opened up very close to the northern edge of the town. 

It's a recent development
119.4 m /391.7 feet asl
Sunny Dartford, NW Kent

Don't feed the Trolls!! When starved of attention they return to their dark caves or the dark recesses of bridges and will turn back to stone, silent again!
Chunky Pea
14 January 2024 14:55:11
Building in North Grindavik now in flames as the lava moved in. Sad to watch.
Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 


"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
--Roger P, 12/Oct/2022
roadrunnerajn
08 February 2024 06:43:45
At 06:02 the Icelandic volcano has erupted again. Fissure is 4km long at the moment.
Germoe, part of the breakaway Celtic Republic.
doctormog
08 February 2024 06:45:34
Another eruption has started in the area this morning:¬†https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iKVwD_JZmFA ¬†

It is apparently¬†north of S√Ĺlingarfell suggesting it is a bit further away from Grindavik.
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