Does seem to be an attempt to build a deep greenland high. Pity its too weak to influence us or last for any length of time by getting chewed up by a lobe of polar vortex over the baffin.

For kicks and giggles the NCMRWF0Z shows what happens with a slightly stronger greenland high

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ncmrwfe_cartes.php

GFS Op playing with pressure rises where we want them. Would need to play the long game to get proper cold uppers though.

GFS Op gives us a NEly at t+288!.... Though quite possibly the mildest winter NEly conceivable!

Though it wouldn’t take much of an adjustment for us to get a very cold blast....

Paras at it again 

fairly decent!!

ECM Op delivers a mobile westerly, followed eventually by a transient toppling high that regroups over Europe bringing a chilly light south easterly under HP influence by days 9 and 10. Looks very feasible.

GEM toys with something colder here:

but then settles for something slightly more S than the ECM. All subtle and not without interest as we enter

what I call the business end of winter - February to mid March.

We could do with an SSW perhaps? 😂😉

Little interest for me in the models right thru to FI

Could be a stormy weekend coming up, otherwise quite a mild outlook.

Also disappointing that the Scandi High and deep cold has now moved Eastwards - again contrary to how UKMet saw this developing in their LRF.

As I am away at end of Feb WIO for me but I have enjoyed the snow and cold over the last couple of weeks

The postage stamps are quite mixed for the ECM - one thing looks certain, there is a block coming! Big mix of outcomes, there's Easterlies, Northerlies, HP dominated, Strong SW flow with the block over europe etc etc.