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As far as short term potential goes, the Met O app is showing one flake for here at 9 am and the radar shows showers coming in off the East coast. I think this will be my last chance of seeing any snow at all for the foreseeable but I’m not holding my breath as I’m not expecting any!
Forecasts have been pretty accurate in showing us on the margin every time and unfortunately we’ve been the wrong side of the margin every single time! We’ve had hard frosts and ice, which has been nice but not quite the same, although I’m pleased some of you have had snow at least.
2-5 and or up to 7 cm forecasted all we got was a dusting poor forecasting ill await terry scholey month ahead forecast today for a more accurate forecast for month ahead to see if winter will finally deliver at last minute
EURO4 certainly not without interest throughout today. Seems the front will reactivate somewhat.
Models present a messy picture throughout the day into this evening. But I suspect someone could have a surprise or two.
still some beefy showers coming in off the north sea but most falling as sleet or rain now
Met office got it wrong for West London. Snow promised from 10.00pm last night but NO snow here all night just patchy rain/sleet, Raining now and 2.5 degrees. We were unlucky. Most other places seem to have got snow though.
Yes, its been pretty rubbish hasn't it. I wasn't expecting a snowfest; but at least something around the 2-5cm mark
Indications now of some echos developing SE of London.
Looking at radar, definite anti-clockwise rotation entered near Brighton area (but no precipitation within about 50 miles of centre)Rather intense area along Normandy coast, not sur if it will swing across channel into Kent
That line of convection all rain - it’s on the south side of the retreating occlusion.
Tricky forecast last night and it’s true the Amber was not really required but some patchy areas did get snow. Nature of these marginal setups. Now give us a robust NE flow with cold in situ and it would of been a different story.
Most likely more rain !
As far as short term potential goes, the Met O app is showing one flake for here at 9 am and the radar shows showers coming in off the East coast. I think this will be my last chance of seeing any snow at all for the foreseeable but I’m not holding my breath as I’m not expecting any! Forecasts have been pretty accurate in showing us on the margin every time and unfortunately we’ve been the wrong side of the margin every single time! We’ve had hard frosts and ice, which has been nice but not quite the same, although I’m pleased some of you have had snow at least.
Still snowing well in Burford, 6 inches now
The front seems to be reinvigorating tho.
That line of convection all rain - it’s on the south side of the retreating occlusion.Tricky forecast last night and it’s true the Amber was not really required but some patchy areas did get snow. Nature of these marginal setups. Now give us a robust NE flow with cold in situ and it would of been a different story.
Yes, and to be fair the MO forecast did make it clear that the heavier snow was likely to be "patchy" in where it affected.
Exceeded expectations here. Yesterday morning I thought we'd end up with about 3cm but we have approx 8cm. I'm surprised so many people thought the snow would stop south of the Thames. Most model runs were taking it further north and I think they handled it very well. There was also a clear signal for it be more sleety in parts of the south.
Some of the hi-res models are suggesting a bit more organised snowfall continuing tonight and even into tomorrow morning in southern parts. Eg NMM and especially HIRLAM:http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/hirlam/runs/2019020106/hirlamuk-42-15-0.png?01-10
Yep. A good dump over the Chilts and even more Oxon way by the looks of things.
No snow since 9:00 a.m. here.
Did ok here
8cm's more in some favoured spots
The broad convergence zone is starting to spread SSE now.
Modelling guidance suggests that the system 'moves' via the west and northwest sides fizzling out while development occurs adjacent to the south and southeast sides. Being convergence-driven, this makes sense as the trough moves away east and the convergence zone shifts accordingly.
After mostly light snow or snow grains for most of the time since dawn, the last half hour has seen a steady increase in rates, now moderate-bordering-heavy. Very scenic!