I went for 18.5C for July but given how things have turned out - I am not disappointed.

I know perhaps we're not supposed to mention them - But I've gone for 18.3C for August - it would be nice to get that as it would put this summer in as number one.

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 

I went for 18.5C for July but given how things have turned out - I am not disappointed.

I know perhaps we're not supposed to mention them - But I've gone for 18.3C for August - it would be nice to get that as it would put this summer in as number one.

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 

Very brave!

I don't think we will beat 1976 overall, but I think there's a very good chance of being quite high up in the Top Five CET summers, and my guess has reflected that

Originally Posted by: golfingmad 

Now that we have the CET figure for July, I thought I'd take a look at where summer 2018 now stands relative to the 'Top Five' summers in the CET summer series:

                    June&July                 August          Summer JJA

1) 1976         17.85                       17.6             17.77

2) 1826         17.6                         17.6            17.60

3) 1995         16.45                       19.2             17.37

4) 2003         16.85                       18.3             17.33

5) 2006         17.8                         16.1             17.23

6) 2018         17.6                          ???               ???

So from these figures it can be seen that:

1) 2018 so far is in a very strong position, being ahead of 1995 and 2003, but still behind 1976 and 2006, and the same as 1826.

2) To pass the summer of 1976 an August figure of at least 18.2C would be required (16.1+19.1+18.2=53.4/3=17.80).

3) To get into fifth position and displace 2006, August would only need to be at least 16.7C (16.1+19.1+16.7=51.9/3=17.30). Even allowing for the current variable output, this should well be possible!

Either way it would take a relatively poor August now to keep the summer of 2018 out of the Top Five in the CET summer series.

Originally Posted by: golfingmad 

Now that we have the CET figure for July, I thought I'd take a look at where summer 2018 now stands relative to the 'Top Five' summers in the CET summer series:

                    June&July                 August          Summer JJA

1) 1976         17.85                       17.6             17.77

2) 1826         17.6                         17.6            17.60

3) 1995         16.45                       19.2             17.37

4) 2003         16.85                       18.3             17.33

5) 2006         17.8                         16.1             17.23

6) 2018         17.6                          ???               ???

So from these figures it can be seen that:

1) 2018 so far is in a very strong position, being ahead of 1995 and 2003, but still behind 1976 and 2006, and the same as 1826.

2) To pass the summer of 1976 an August figure of at least 18.2C would be required (16.1+19.1+18.2=53.4/3=17.80).

3) To get into fifth position and displace 2006, August would only need to be at least 16.7C (16.1+19.1+16.7=51.9/3=17.30). Even allowing for the current variable output, this should well be possible!

Either way it would take a relatively poor August now to keep the summer of 2018 out of the Top Five in the CET summer series.

Originally Posted by: golfingmad 

Met Office Hadley     19.2c    Anomaly   3.1c. Provisional to 2nd.

Metcheck                  19.25c  Anomaly    3.02c

Netweather               20.11c  Anomaly    3.92c

Alton                      21.7c    Anomaly    4.07c

Darwen                   20.2c    Anomaly    3.72c

Mansfield Woodhouse  19.6c   Anomaly   3.0c

Peasedown St John  18.6c    Anomaly   0.28c.

Treviskey Redruth Cornwall 18.50c. Anomaly 1.48c. 

Mean Of My 10 Watched stations  19.76c.    

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 

A good start to the month but going forward, I think it’s anybody’s guess judging by the output!  

Originally Posted by: Caz 

I went for 17.0C this month, at the time I thought that was quite conservative as I didn't want to be blinded by all those forecasts of hot & sunny weather for the first half of the month. However now things have have changed somewhat and I wonder ifi that 17.0C figure might turn out to be rather optimistic. Things could change again  of course but a cooler/wetter spell does seem likely from mid week next week.

Originally Posted by: Col 

Met Office Hadley         19.8c       Anomaly     3.6c. Provisional to 3rd.

Metcheck                      19.71c.    Anomaly     3.49c

Netweather                   20.73c     Anomaly     4.54c

Clevedon Weather         19.6c      Anomaly      2.25c

Darwen                        19.5c      Anomaly      3.02c

Hexam                         19.6c      Anomaly      3.44c

Mansfield Woodhouse  19.6c    Anomaly    3.0c

Peasedown St John  19.2c   Anomaly   0.88c

Treviskey Redruth        18.4c.      Anomaly    1.88c.

Mean of 10 stations   18.82c.         

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 

My calculations for the first three days give a mean of 19.48C

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 

Now that we have the CET figure for July, I thought I'd take a look at where summer 2018 now stands relative to the 'Top Five' summers in the CET summer series:

Originally Posted by: golfingmad 

I'm not sure if this has been mentioned elsewhere, but ignoring the specific summer months we have had the warmest May - July three month period

2018    16.13eistjg43534dsfd°C

2006    15.97°C

1976    15.93°C

1762    15.87°C

1868    15.77°C

2017 was the 10th warmest May - July period at 15.33°C.

It was also the warmest April - July period. 

Originally Posted by: Snowshoe 

I'm not sure if this has been mentioned elsewhere, but ignoring the specific summer months we have had the warmest May - July three month period

2018    16.13eistjg43534dsfd°C

2006    15.97°C

1976    15.93°C

1762    15.87°C

1868    15.77°C

2017 was the 10th warmest May - July period at 15.33°C.

It was also the warmest April - July period. 

Originally Posted by: Snowshoe 

At the moment yes. But the figures tend to be quite volatile at the start of the month given there are only a small number of data points. We will have a better sense in about a week's time.

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 

Oh gosh, now I wonder if I guessed too cool!

Originally Posted by: Windy Willow 

The current output has the CET crashing after Tuesday. Could be an interesting month.

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 

The current output has the CET crashing after Tuesday. Could be an interesting month.

Originally Posted by: Global Warming