15.2 to the 13th for Philip Eden
Could be some upward pressure on that as we go through the second half of the month.
Well, almost half way through the month.
CET: (Jul 1-13): 15.2°C ( -1.0 degC). I am not suprised there. E&W Rain: (Jul 1-13): 74.3mm (266 per cent). E&W Sun: (Jul 1-13): 38.8hr ( 45 per cent). This has made things feel realy dire after such a long period of bad weather.
Edited by user 14 July 2012 09:52:54(UTC)
| Reason: Not specified
Shockingly bad shunshine hours!
Now down to 15C.
But just look at those sunshine figures - 50% of normal.
I went to a sub 15C CET - Looks like a might be in with a chance.
I'm amazed it's as high as 50%!!
I know what you mean.
So with the warmth coming up next week, especially in the South what do we think projected CET could be?
15.3C up to the 18th.
I think we will easily add a degree before end of month
Warm nights have kept it up.
The temperature I mean.
But Jeeeesus - just look at those sunshine figures.
Yes were it not for the warm nights the CET would be well below 15C.
The provisional Hadley figures to the 18th mean that the maximum CET is 2.42C below the 1971-2000 mean
Conversely the minimum CET is 0.39C above the 1971-2000 mean
Some of the sunshine data is truly painful to look at:
RAF Lyneham 39.6hrsBournememouth Hurn 41.8hrsCambourne 40.2hrsAberdeen Dyce 17.8hrs - spare a thought for the DocEdinburgh Gogarbank 14.0hrs (Includes 9 days with nil of which there was a run of 7 consecutive nil days )
15.2 to the 19th for Philip Eden.
I thought I would summarise how many days I have had temperatures above 21C and 25C this year compared to recent years just to show what a rubbish summer we have had so far.
The table shows that in terms of days with 25C+ I have had as many as last year and more than in 2007 although most arose in the warm spell at the end of May. Since the official start of summer on 1 June I have only recorded a temperature higher than 25C once.
But the really interesting statistic is the 21C+ days. Even the poor summer of 2007 had seen over 40 days above 21C by now. Last year there were only 31 but this year I have only recorded 16 so far of which 9 were in May. Of the 50 days since 1 June only 6 have reached 21C. That sums up the summer so far - shocking.
Edited by user 20 July 2012 21:03:38(UTC)
| Reason: Not specified
The maximum CET for 1 Jun to 19 Jul is 17.71C which is 1.6C below the 1971-2000 mean of 19.32C
The last time the maximum CET for 1 Jun to 19 Jul was colder than 2012 was in 1980 when it was 17.33C
The other years in the CET MAX series that goes back to 1878 that are colder than 2012 for the summer period to date are:
1972, 1954, 1948, 1916, 1909, 1907, 1890, 1888 and 1879
So far then summer 2012 has the 11th coldest CET MAX on record
Here is the latest CET tracker for July. The prov Hadley data this month is looking fairly accurate at the moment. I agree with a figure of 15.2C up to yesterday which is also consistent with Manley.
The CET drops today to 15.1C and may fall to 15.0C tomorrow. After that a significant rise next week in much warmer conditions but the CET is only expected to peak at around 15.7C before falling back slightly to around 15.6C.
If we finish at 15.6C we will have had the coldest Apr-Jul period since 1986 with a mean of 12.0C.