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Model Output Discussion 4/2/12 12.40....
rayjp Offline
#1 Posted : 04 February 2012 12:40:53(UTC)
rayjp

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Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 7,202
Location: Southend

Onward we go, nicely please.


Sunny Southend.






Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com
Jiries Offline
#2 Posted : 04 February 2012 12:43:13(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 15,662
Location: West Ewell


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs484.gif




Surely cannot be right when we have snow cover already and should we join those temps like Europe but 2-3C warmer but not up to 15C warmer than the continent. Very dodgy temps profile this.


rayjp Offline
#5 Posted : 04 February 2012 15:45:31(UTC)
rayjp

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 7,202
Location: Southend

So everybody has given up on the future then.
Surprising as so many have rain now.


Sunny Southend.






Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com
festivalking Offline
#6 Posted : 04 February 2012 15:50:26(UTC)
festivalking

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 22/01/2009(UTC)
Posts: 268
Location: Woolwell, Plymouth, Devon

Been raining all the way here.


GFS starting to roll out.....

Woolwell 121 M/asl or 400 ft/asl 6 miles inland - in spitting and wishing distance of dartmoor

Winter Stats 2011/12 (So to speak)

Day

Highest Temp: 11.5 25/12
Lowest Temp: 1.2 01/02

Night

Lowest Temp: -4.5 03/02
Highest Temp: 10.2 31/12



squish Offline
#7 Posted : 04 February 2012 15:53:41(UTC)
squish

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Posts: 3,459

Nice 12z GME, building the block back westwards very quickly.

http://modeles.meteociel...les/gme/run/gme-0-72.png
D.E.W on Dartmoor. 185m asl
festivalking Offline
#9 Posted : 04 February 2012 15:54:28(UTC)
festivalking

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 22/01/2009(UTC)
Posts: 268
Location: Woolwell, Plymouth, Devon

http://images.meteociel....2012020412-1-42_riq1.png


Coldish uppers not running away fast

Woolwell 121 M/asl or 400 ft/asl 6 miles inland - in spitting and wishing distance of dartmoor

Winter Stats 2011/12 (So to speak)

Day

Highest Temp: 11.5 25/12
Lowest Temp: 1.2 01/02

Night

Lowest Temp: -4.5 03/02
Highest Temp: 10.2 31/12



Volmet Offline
#10 Posted : 04 February 2012 15:54:34(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 22/11/2006(UTC)
Posts: 41

At t42 GFS is showing high to the East slightly stronger and az high slightly lower.


Snowing moderately in Solihull at 1555


 

festivalking Offline
#11 Posted : 04 February 2012 15:58:32(UTC)
festivalking

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 22/01/2009(UTC)
Posts: 268
Location: Woolwell, Plymouth, Devon

http://images.meteociel....2012020412-2-48_bij4.png


 


more snow for london and se for Monday

Woolwell 121 M/asl or 400 ft/asl 6 miles inland - in spitting and wishing distance of dartmoor

Winter Stats 2011/12 (So to speak)

Day

Highest Temp: 11.5 25/12
Lowest Temp: 1.2 01/02

Night

Lowest Temp: -4.5 03/02
Highest Temp: 10.2 31/12



squish Offline
#18 Posted : 04 February 2012 16:07:33(UTC)
squish

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 01/05/2006(UTC)
Posts: 3,459

festivalking;286502 wrote:


http://images.meteociel....2012020412-2-48_bij4.png


 


more snow for london and se for Monday



NAE hints at this too for East Anglia as the cold air digs back in.

D.E.W on Dartmoor. 185m asl
festivalking Offline
#8 Posted : 04 February 2012 16:07:58(UTC)
festivalking

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 22/01/2009(UTC)
Posts: 268
Location: Woolwell, Plymouth, Devon

squish;286489 wrote:
Nice 12z GME, building the block back westwards very quickly.

http://modeles.meteociel...les/gme/run/gme-0-72.png


 


http://images.meteociel....2012020412-0-78_sml3.png


GFS joins the queue to the party.

Woolwell 121 M/asl or 400 ft/asl 6 miles inland - in spitting and wishing distance of dartmoor

Winter Stats 2011/12 (So to speak)

Day

Highest Temp: 11.5 25/12
Lowest Temp: 1.2 01/02

Night

Lowest Temp: -4.5 03/02
Highest Temp: 10.2 31/12



Steve Murr Offline
#12 Posted : 04 February 2012 16:07:58(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 18/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 1,948

superteacher Offline
#13 Posted : 04 February 2012 16:10:34(UTC)
superteacher

Rank: Advanced Member

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Posts: 1,880
Location: Sible Hedingham (near Braintree), Essex

Steve Murr;286525 wrote:


I love your posts Steve!

Superteacher - Is it a bird, is it a plane, is it a plume?

Posts on old TWO site = 287
festivalking Offline
#19 Posted : 04 February 2012 16:11:58(UTC)
festivalking

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 22/01/2009(UTC)
Posts: 268
Location: Woolwell, Plymouth, Devon

http://images.meteociel....2012020412-1-96_gvi3.png


Cold pool moved to far south?

Woolwell 121 M/asl or 400 ft/asl 6 miles inland - in spitting and wishing distance of dartmoor

Winter Stats 2011/12 (So to speak)

Day

Highest Temp: 11.5 25/12
Lowest Temp: 1.2 01/02

Night

Lowest Temp: -4.5 03/02
Highest Temp: 10.2 31/12



Snow Hoper Offline
#14 Posted : 04 February 2012 16:15:07(UTC)
Snow Hoper

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 06/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 9,608
Location: Thorndon, Suffolk

superteacher;286530 wrote:


Steve Murr;286525 wrote:


I love you Steve!



They're worth looking out for. How's your confidence? Still 90%?

Nordic Snowman Offline
#3 Posted : 04 February 2012 16:17:36(UTC)
Nordic Snowman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 3,465
Location: Bjorli, Norway

Jiries;286151 wrote:



http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs484.gif




Surely cannot be right when we have snow cover already and should we join those temps like Europe but 2-3C warmer but not up to 15C warmer than the continent. Very dodgy temps profile this.




Nothing dodgy George. Just normal in view of the synoptics...

Weather & Social Media = iWeatherShare
squish Offline
#20 Posted : 04 February 2012 16:17:37(UTC)
squish

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 01/05/2006(UTC)
Posts: 3,459

UKMO +48 chart has very cold air still in place over SE Monday.
D.E.W on Dartmoor. 185m asl
Flocon Offline
#21 Posted : 04 February 2012 16:19:50(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 08/11/2011(UTC)
Posts: 49
Location: Pen Llyn

squish;286545 wrote:
UKMO +48 chart has very cold air still in place over SE Monday.


If that is this one - then its yesterdays


http://www.meteociel.fr/...mp;ech=48&carte=1021

Maunder Minimum Offline
#16 Posted : 04 February 2012 16:22:15(UTC)
Maunder Minimum

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Joined: 08/09/2007(UTC)
Posts: 14,453
Location: Copenhagen (work) and West Worcestershire (home)

Steve Murr;286525 wrote:


Not as good as the 6z - everything is a little further south. Mustn't grumble though:


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rtavn1321.png

Public spending cuts now, are a result of Brown's lack of prudence as Chancellor and PM.
festivalking Offline
#22 Posted : 04 February 2012 16:22:54(UTC)
festivalking

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 22/01/2009(UTC)
Posts: 268
Location: Woolwell, Plymouth, Devon

http://images.meteociel....012020412-1-132_cgp7.png


Here she comes.............


SE on course for another bout. The main energy though staying in continental europe thus far


EDIT: well -8 uppers for southern england and wales.

Woolwell 121 M/asl or 400 ft/asl 6 miles inland - in spitting and wishing distance of dartmoor

Winter Stats 2011/12 (So to speak)

Day

Highest Temp: 11.5 25/12
Lowest Temp: 1.2 01/02

Night

Lowest Temp: -4.5 03/02
Highest Temp: 10.2 31/12



Karl Guille Offline
#17 Posted : 04 February 2012 16:24:21(UTC)
Karl Guille

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 30/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 1,729
Location: Guernsey

Steve Murr;286525 wrote:


Looks similar to the 06z to me.  THings setting up quite nicely!


http://modeles.meteociel...-2012020412-1-144.png?12

Karl Guille
Les Tracheries
Guernsey
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