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Jiries Offline
#481 Posted : 31 May 2012 07:47:19(UTC)
Jiries

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Location: West Ewell home Sun-Mon. Langley work Tue-Sat

Originally Posted by: Steam Fog Go to Quoted Post

56 years of Tornado tracks!

http://uxblog.idvsolutions.com/2012/05/tornado-tracks.html

Interesting as it show how little to the left side and most on the right side of the states.  Some gaps to the NE side.

idj20 Offline
#482 Posted : 31 May 2012 18:03:31(UTC)
idj20

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Location: Folkestone

Just had a very hyper Tomasz Schazzaknickers as our weather presenter on BBC South East News  Indeed, he's back in the flesh. The way he ducked and weaved all over the place you'd think he was playing dodgeball . . .

  . . . Kaddy Lee Preston, I'm missing you all the more.

Edited by user 31 May 2012 18:07:46(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified


Ian D J, Folkestone Harbour.

Predicting the weather is like making love to a beautiful woman - if you don't keep on top of things, or come up short, you might encounter hostile conditions later.
CAPE-steve Offline
#483 Posted : 31 May 2012 18:18:37(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: idj20 Go to Quoted Post

Just had a very hyper Tomasz Schazzaknickers as our weather presenter on BBC South East News  Indeed, he's back in the flesh. The way he ducked and weaved all over the place you'd think he was playing dodgeball . . .

  . . . Kaddy Lee Preston, I'm missing you all the more.

Aww, I miss Tomasz Schadenfreude 



idj20 Offline
#484 Posted : 31 May 2012 18:40:36(UTC)
idj20

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Originally Posted by: CAPE-steve Go to Quoted Post

Originally Posted by: idj20 Go to Quoted Post

Just had a very hyper Tomasz Schazzaknickers as our weather presenter on BBC South East News  Indeed, he's back in the flesh. The way he ducked and weaved all over the place you'd think he was playing dodgeball . . .

  . . . Kaddy Lee Preston, I'm missing you all the more.

Aww, I miss Tomasz Schadenfreude 



 I'll tell him you said that.


Ian D J, Folkestone Harbour.

Predicting the weather is like making love to a beautiful woman - if you don't keep on top of things, or come up short, you might encounter hostile conditions later.
CAPE-steve Offline
#485 Posted : 31 May 2012 18:44:40(UTC)
CAPE-steve

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Originally Posted by: idj20 Go to Quoted Post

Originally Posted by: CAPE-steve Go to Quoted Post

Originally Posted by: idj20 Go to Quoted Post

Just had a very hyper Tomasz Schazzaknickers as our weather presenter on BBC South East News  Indeed, he's back in the flesh. The way he ducked and weaved all over the place you'd think he was playing dodgeball . . .

  . . . Kaddy Lee Preston, I'm missing you all the more.

Aww, I miss Tomasz Schadenfreude 



 I'll tell him you said that.

He'll give me the middle finger 



idj20 Offline
#486 Posted : 31 May 2012 19:03:09(UTC)
idj20

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Originally Posted by: CAPE-steve Go to Quoted Post

Originally Posted by: idj20 Go to Quoted Post

Originally Posted by: CAPE-steve Go to Quoted Post

Originally Posted by: idj20 Go to Quoted Post

Just had a very hyper Tomasz Schazzaknickers as our weather presenter on BBC South East News  Indeed, he's back in the flesh. The way he ducked and weaved all over the place you'd think he was playing dodgeball . . .

  . . . Kaddy Lee Preston, I'm missing you all the more.

Aww, I miss Tomasz Schadenfreude 



 I'll tell him you said that.

He'll give me the middle finger 

I'm sure he'll be more than happy to show you his weathercock again.   

Back on topic; Regarding that 50 years of tornado tracks image - a fascinating bit of data, especially where most of those tracks run along in a prevailing-type north-east wards direction.

Edited by user 31 May 2012 19:04:25(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified


Ian D J, Folkestone Harbour.

Predicting the weather is like making love to a beautiful woman - if you don't keep on top of things, or come up short, you might encounter hostile conditions later.
Romfordman Offline
#487 Posted : 31 May 2012 20:47:57(UTC)
Romfordman

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So much for all the rain predicted by the metoffice for this week, very disappointing outcome.

Richard
35m asl

I do not believe in a word that you say, but I will defend with my life, if need be, your right to say it.
Voltaire
PFCSCOTTY Offline
#488 Posted : 01 June 2012 07:11:34(UTC)
PFCSCOTTY

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Originally Posted by: Romfordman Go to Quoted Post

So much for all the rain predicted by the metoffice for this week, very disappointing outcome.

 

Totally agree with your comments, completely Dry down here on the South Coast all week with NO rainfall recorded, with Plentiful sunshine (even this morning)and Warm Temperatures that have been between 23 and 27C each day. The forecasts suggested a poor week after Monday, just goes to show all those people that worry about the LRF in the Summer and winter months, should realise the "experts" cant get it right over 1-2 days let alone predicting 5-30 days in advance!  So although we all find it interesting to watch these potential trends, we should not get stressed out if it goes horribly wrong like it has this week 

 

In my opinion the Met office seem to be more concerned about the choice of words that empasis a probability (such as likely, isolated, mainly, mostly etc) to cover their arses, rather than worrying about the forecast, which seems (another word) to have been more accurate 20 years ago than, perhaps too much reliance is now put on data!

 I Guess Buisness, industry and tourists chiefs are very reliant on these forecasts and most feel dissapointment when they get it wrong. 

Anyway have a good day whatever the weather   

Jiries Offline
#489 Posted : 01 June 2012 07:33:32(UTC)
Jiries

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Originally Posted by: Romfordman Go to Quoted Post

So much for all the rain predicted by the metoffice for this week, very disappointing outcome.

More disappointing when they kept talking about rain showers during the warm/hot spell we had.  There was some isolated ones but really they should had been discussing more about high temps like they got in Scotland.  In the old days the BBC used to display max highest temps regularly during the heatwave and discussed a lot about it.

GIBBY Offline
#490 Posted : 01 June 2012 08:24:22(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: PFCSCOTTY Go to Quoted Post

Originally Posted by: Romfordman Go to Quoted Post

So much for all the rain predicted by the metoffice for this week, very disappointing outcome.

 

Totally agree with your comments, completely Dry down here on the South Coast all week with NO rainfall recorded, with Plentiful sunshine (even this morning)and Warm Temperatures that have been between 23 and 27C each day. The forecasts suggested a poor week after Monday, just goes to show all those people that worry about the LRF in the Summer and winter months, should realise the "experts" cant get it right over 1-2 days let alone predicting 5-30 days in advance!  So although we all find it interesting to watch these potential trends, we should not get stressed out if it goes horribly wrong like it has this week 


 

In my opinion the Met office seem to be more concerned about the choice of words that empasis a probability (such as likely, isolated, mainly, mostly etc) to cover their arses, rather than worrying about the forecast, which seems (another word) to have been more accurate 20 years ago than, perhaps too much reliance is now put on data!

 I Guess Buisness, industry and tourists chiefs are very reliant on these forecasts and most feel dissapointment when they get it wrong. 

Anyway have a good day whatever the weather   

I've been in the Midlands since Tuesday and it ain't been very good here. A wet day yesterday and raining again this morning. Shows how a few miles can make all the difference.

Martin G
Radstock Bath Somerset


Midsomer Norton & Radstock Weather Website


Now includes a page of links to the latest charts from GFS, UKMO, ECM and GEM plus the latest Bracknell Fax Charts

Don't Forget you can view my Daily Weather Reports and Summaries at 08:00 and 19:00GMT on my website. Go To Home Page and follow link to 'Model Analysis'.


Steam Fog Offline
#491 Posted : 01 June 2012 08:38:15(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: PFCSCOTTY Go to Quoted Post

... just goes to show all those people that worry about the LRF in the Summer and winter months, should realise the "experts" cant get it right over 1-2 days let alone predicting 5-30 days in advance!  ... 

In my opinion the Met office seem to be more concerned about the choice of words that empasis a probability (such as likely, isolated, mainly, mostly etc) to cover their arses, rather than worrying about the forecast, which seems (another word) to have been more accurate 20 years ago than, perhaps too much reliance is now put on data!

 

Shocking isn't it.

Given how "they" told us for years that the weather was simple and easily predictable and could be easily and simply predicted. Starightforward "they" said. I heard "them". Or my friend did. And guess what! It turns out that it is complex, variable and prone to sudden shifts from expected patterns. Why were we not told!!! Let me tell you. You could plan a pretty picnic. But you can't predict the weather, Ms. Jackson. 

And "their" insistence on language based on probability! Where are the certainties of the past! Why in the past you can tell who won every football match! But it seems it is impossible for people to predict the future scores with extreme accuracy. It's "them" again. I'm sure of it. The same with the weather. 

 

augusta Offline
#492 Posted : 01 June 2012 08:48:16(UTC)
augusta

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Totally agree with you, PFCSCOTTY. What a really lovely week it's been down here on the South coast. I'm a little further east than you on the Hants/West Sussex border but it really has been very nice this week. I tend to judge the weather in terms of conditions for golf and this week has been just about perfect with the warmth and little breeze and sunshine at times.

We do need a little rain again now though and it looks like we're going to get it !

 

Regards,

Mark

Marigold Offline
#493 Posted : 01 June 2012 16:41:33(UTC)
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http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/blog/2012/jun/01/whatever-happened-coldest-may-years

 

Apparently *****thinks that he didn't predict the coldest May in 100 years

Southern Yorkshire Dales

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Sevendust Offline
#494 Posted : 01 June 2012 17:18:16(UTC)
Sevendust

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Originally Posted by: Marigold Go to Quoted Post

http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/blog/2012/jun/01/whatever-happened-coldest-may-years

 

Apparently *****thinks that he didn't predict the coldest May in 100 years

Hold on while I move that goalpost

Dave

Alton - deep in the Hampshire Alps

Charmhills Offline
#495 Posted : 01 June 2012 17:30:26(UTC)
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BBC weather; wet though dryer and brighter in the north and far south though the weekend and into Monday.


Duane.




Brummie Snowman Offline
#496 Posted : 01 June 2012 19:23:25(UTC)
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Only 9ºC in Birmingham on Sunday with heavy rain according to the Met Office forecast.

Jiries Offline
#497 Posted : 01 June 2012 21:53:38(UTC)
Jiries

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Originally Posted by: Sevendust Go to Quoted Post

Originally Posted by: Marigold Go to Quoted Post

http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/blog/2012/jun/01/whatever-happened-coldest-may-years

 

Apparently *****thinks that he didn't predict the coldest May in 100 years

Hold on while I move that goalpost

LOL  He definitely cheating.

PFCSCOTTY Offline
#498 Posted : 02 June 2012 20:10:12(UTC)
PFCSCOTTY

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Posts: 183

Originally Posted by: Brummie Snowman Go to Quoted Post

Only 9ºC in Birmingham on Sunday with heavy rain according to the Met Office forecast.

Well yet another forecast gone tits up down here already, the "heavy rain" predicted for SUNDAY has passed through already giving the grand total of 0.02 inches a day early! Forecast now mainly dry for sunday. I bet those people that rely on accuracy for planning and business are far from impressed.  

LeedsLad123 Offline
#499 Posted : 02 June 2012 20:34:38(UTC)
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The Met Office forecast for Leeds has gone from one hour of heavy rain with mazes of 11C to heavy rain from 1am to 7pm with 9c maxes.

bledur Offline
#500 Posted : 02 June 2012 21:10:54(UTC)
bledur

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Location: WEST HANTS

i would not write off the rainfall in the far south just yet . it is a developing situation. heavy storms crossing the channel now

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