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Global Warming Offline
#201 Posted : 01 April 2012 10:40:44(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 3,749
Man
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke, Hants

Well I was spot on with my latest estimate as 8.27C is indeed the final figure (a downward adjustment of 0.32C from the provisional figure of 8.59C)

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2012

Nobody went for 8.3C but congratulations to Trickster who was the closest with 8.2C

Edited by user 01 April 2012 10:41:40(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Live Chineham weather data http://www.weatherlink.c...ew=summary&headers=1 [Davis VP2]
Global Warming Offline
#202 Posted : 01 April 2012 10:53:11(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 3,749
Man
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke, Hants

Here are the charts for March

As expected the maximum temperatures were way above normal whereas minimums were less high although still above average.

The maximum CET figure was 12.84C which is 3.21C above normal and the highest figure since 1948. It is also the 3rd highest on record. 1938 was incredibly warm at 13.8C so a full 1C warmer than this year.

Live Chineham weather data http://www.weatherlink.c...ew=summary&headers=1 [Davis VP2]
beaufort Offline
#203 Posted : 01 April 2012 10:56:24(UTC)
beaufort

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 04/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 29,663
Man
Location: Alderney

Well done to the winners.

Thanks GW for running with this.

Red sky at night Guernseymans' delight, Jersey's on fire.

Live Alderney Wx.

Puffin Cam
Global Warming Offline
#204 Posted : 01 April 2012 11:35:30(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 3,749
Man
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke, Hants

We have 66 members remaining in the competition after three months of the year. Some fairly large errors again in the competition this month which is not surprising given how far above average the temperature was. The mean error this month across all participants was 1.33C which exceeded the 1.25C in February.

We have a new leader in the competition this month as redmoons moves up three places to the top of the table despite an error of nearly 1C.

A familiar face near the top of the table from last year, Darren S, is up to second just 0.05C behind.

Last month’s leader speckledjim drops two places to third while last year’s winner Martyn is up another place to fourth.

domma climbs another two places to fifth and Dougie, another regular in the top 10 from earlier years, is up six places to sixth.

marting falls five places this month to seventh while Devonian continues his steady start to the year up one to eighth.

GezM moves up four to ninth and Trickster moves into the top 10 rising a huge 29 places this month.

There are four people battling out at the bottom of the table who are well adrift of the rest. Chris brings up the rear this month.

Big movers elsewhere in the table are summarised below.

Big climbers this month

10 Trickster (↑29)
34 nouska (↑22)
40 Gavin D (↑21)
26 Alvin Meister (↑19)
21 Global Warming (↑16)
38 dingle rob (↑15)
39 Caz (↑15)
45 warrenb (↑14)

Big fallers this month

49 broken nail (↓28)
30 Acrtic Hare (↓24)
29 D McAlister (↓18)
55 vince (↓12)
43 Roonie (↓12)











Edited by user 01 April 2012 22:27:58(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Live Chineham weather data http://www.weatherlink.c...ew=summary&headers=1 [Davis VP2]
Gavin P Online
#205 Posted : 01 April 2012 11:43:52(UTC)
Gavin Partridge

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 16,807
Man
United Kingdom

Thanks for all the facts and figures GW

At least I'm moving the right way at last.

Rural West Northants 120m asl

Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ http://gavsweathervids.com/
Hungry Tiger Offline
#206 Posted : 01 April 2012 11:59:50(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 17,353
Location: South Cambridgeshire

I went for 7C - way out.  It was 8.3C I believe the final total was.

I like to be within 1C or less.

Edited by user 01 April 2012 12:01:00(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Gavin S.



Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.







Chris Offline
#207 Posted : 01 April 2012 17:05:31(UTC)
Chris

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 04/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 3,549

That was one warm March, and definitely a month to stick in the archives and remember with interest.
Stroud, Gloucestershire
Snow Hoper Offline
#208 Posted : 01 April 2012 17:13:08(UTC)
Snow Hoper

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 06/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 10,505
Man
Location: Thorndon, Suffolk

Cheers GW, I had hoped to do better this year



By the time you realise your parents were right, your kids already think that you're wrong!
Saint Snow Offline
#209 Posted : 01 April 2012 17:41:38(UTC)
Saint Snow

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 18,617
Man
Location: St Helens

I've kept my 60th place - but only because so many dropped out this month


Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

Likes: social liberalism; Hates: economic liberalism.
Caz Offline
#210 Posted : 01 April 2012 18:16:30(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 9,161
Woman
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

GW, many thanks for all the facts and figures and for a great competition as always! 

Yipee!  Even with a guess of 7c, I managed to climb a fair bit! 

Well done to the climbers and congrats to everyone who took part, wherever you are in the table, but especially those holding us up at the bottom for sticking with us! 

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Grant's Puffin Cam
Hungry Tiger Offline
#211 Posted : 01 April 2012 18:33:49(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 17,353
Location: South Cambridgeshire

I've gone for a low figure for April - In some respects thats one I would like to be wrong on.

Gavin S.



Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.







Global Warming Offline
#212 Posted : 01 April 2012 22:43:13(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 3,749
Man
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke, Hants

I have made some further changes to the tables above having had another look at them as some of the manually entered prediction error figures that accompany the charts were complete nonsense. It makes no difference to the positions and the bars on the chart were all correct but I had messed up entering some of the figures.

Hopefully everything is now in order. When I get some time after Easter I will go through all the data for the year again and just check no other gremlins have crept into the figures.

Live Chineham weather data http://www.weatherlink.c...ew=summary&headers=1 [Davis VP2]
Dougie Offline
#213 Posted : 02 April 2012 05:54:18(UTC)
Dougie

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 13,580
Man
Location: Sidcup, Kent.

Well done to Redmoons, and thanks to GW for all the figures.

Haway the lads
wallaw Offline
#214 Posted : 02 April 2012 08:37:07(UTC)
wallaw

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 11,394
Man
Location: Stockton-on-Tees

Well done guys and thanks to GW

Ian


Stockton-on-Tees

Ally Pally Snowman Online
#215 Posted : 02 April 2012 10:26:09(UTC)
Ally Pally Snowman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 04/01/2012(UTC)
Posts: 1,381
Man
United Kingdom
Location: Highgate North London

Great work as ever GW, not a bad lucky guess from me either.

redmoons Offline
#216 Posted : 03 April 2012 11:11:44(UTC)
redmoons

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 660
Man
Location: Watford

Originally Posted by: Dougie Go to Quoted Post

Well done to Redmoons, and thanks to GW for all the figures.

 

Thanks :D never been this high might get a nose bleed!! Great work GW 

Andrew,
Watford
ASL 35m
http://www.andrewlalchan.com





Martyn Offline
#217 Posted : 09 April 2012 21:08:19(UTC)
Martyn

Rank: Administration

Joined: 06/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 14,904
Location: South Dales

Thanks GW ....... great stuff

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