I will go for 10.23c I think its going to be a hot summer, only the winter months will be below average.
To my untrained eye it looks like warmer winters were the main factor in the milder CETS of the nineties and noughties, rather than exceptionally warm springs summers and autums.
Edited by user 06 January 2011 19:26:29(UTC)
| Reason: Not specified
I don't want my guess to appear very extreme, so please put me down for 8.81C
I don't have such a worry I'll go for 8.16c - coldest year since 1879
A slightly cool year, the summer making-up for an exceptionally cold Feb
If it's not too late, I will predict 10.20 please.
I'm going for a pleasant 8.9c, would have gone lower but feel June might be a hot one!
I have posted the final table with all the entries at the beginning of this thread. There are a total of 66 entries.
A number of the later entries were duplicates of existing entries. As duplicates are not allowed I have adjusted predictions where necessary by 0.01C to ensure all predictions are unique.
LOL. Spot the outlier prediction
BTW - you need to give my name an extra U
I see the majority are going for a below average year, which is probably influenced by the recent cold spell. I've noticed that when we end a period with below average temps, predictions tend to be on the low side and vice versa.
Here is the position at the end of January. We are 0.51C below the 1971-2000 average.
Sorry it is too late now to enter the annual competition. But you can enter the March CET competition which has just opened in a separate thread.
Here is the position at the end of February. We are now quite a bit above average following a warm month.
March update shows little change in deviation from the 1971-2000 mean. We are currently at 5.57C which is 0.65C above normal.
Well I think we can safetly say my sub 9c prediction has gone down the pan! Far more likely to be plus 10c than sub 9c.