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Annual CET prediction competition for 2011
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broken nail Offline
#21 Posted : 06 January 2011 00:05:42(UTC)
broken nail

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 03/12/2007(UTC)
Posts: 4,502
Location: Finchampstead, Berkshire
9.87C please, sure I posted this on the other thread too, never made sure it posted though and I can't find it now, lost to some dark spot of the internet.
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redmoons Offline
#22 Posted : 06 January 2011 15:42:52(UTC)
redmoons

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 671
Man
Location: Watford

I will go for 10.23c I think its going to be a hot summer, only the winter months will be below average.

Andrew,
Watford
ASL 35m
http://www.andrewlalchan.com





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Chris Offline
#23 Posted : 06 January 2011 19:21:04(UTC)
Chris

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 04/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 3,549

9.33c please.

 

To my untrained eye it looks like warmer winters were the main factor in the milder CETS of the nineties and noughties, rather than exceptionally warm springs summers and autums. 

Edited by user 06 January 2011 19:26:29(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Stroud, Gloucestershire
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polarwind Offline
#24 Posted : 06 January 2011 21:38:32(UTC)
polarwind

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Joined: 04/05/2006(UTC)
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Man
Location: Derby

I don't want my guess to appear very extreme, so please put me down for 8.81C

"The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts". - Bertrand Russell
"Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts" – Richard Feynman
Dave
Derby
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Younger Dryas User is suspended until 20/06/2013 10:38:44(UTC)
#25 Posted : 06 January 2011 23:43:15(UTC)
Younger Dryas

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Location: London (Mostly)

Originally Posted by: polarwind Go to Quoted Post

I don't want my guess to appear very extreme, so please put me down for 8.81C

I don't have such a worry I'll go for 8.16c - coldest year since 1879
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NickR Offline
#26 Posted : 07 January 2011 11:37:44(UTC)
NickR

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Man
Location: Durham
10.12 please.
Nick

Gilesgate, Durham City
twomoderationteam@gmail.com
Twitter feed: @Nick_Durham - 30 min updates on conditions in Durham
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nsrobins Offline
#27 Posted : 07 January 2011 14:42:48(UTC)
nsrobins

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Joined: 04/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 8,413
Location: South Hampshire

A slightly cool year, the summer making-up for an exceptionally cold Feb

9.42 please

Denmead, South Hampshire
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
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Gandalf The White Offline
#28 Posted : 08 January 2011 14:30:22(UTC)
Gandalf The White

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 12/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 12,687

If it's not too late, I will predict 10.20 please.

 

Location: Watford, Hertfordshire

65m ASL
51.68N, 0.38W

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Solar Cycles Offline
#29 Posted : 09 January 2011 19:51:33(UTC)
Solar Cycles

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Joined: 04/09/2008(UTC)
Posts: 3,704
Location: Blackburn Lancs

I'm going for a pleasant 8.9c, would have gone lower but feel June might be a hot one!
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Snowstoming Offline
#30 Posted : 11 January 2011 18:26:47(UTC)
Snowstoming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 20/11/2008(UTC)
Posts: 228
Man
Location: Thornaby

8.96c

Michael
17m ASL
Thornaby
Near Stockton-on-tees
10 Miles from the coast
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Global Warming Offline
#31 Posted : 14 January 2011 22:51:34(UTC)
Global Warming

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Posts: 3,776
United Kingdom
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke, Hants

I have posted the final table with all the entries at the beginning of this thread. There are a total of 66 entries.

A number of the later entries were duplicates of existing entries. As duplicates are not allowed I have adjusted predictions where necessary by 0.01C to ensure all predictions are unique.

Live Chineham weather data http://www.weatherlink.c...ew=summary&headers=1 [Davis VP2]
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Younger Dryas User is suspended until 20/06/2013 10:38:44(UTC)
#32 Posted : 14 January 2011 23:04:41(UTC)
Younger Dryas

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 01/08/2007(UTC)
Posts: 7,638
Location: London (Mostly)

Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

I have posted the final table with all the entries at the beginning of this thread. There are a total of 66 entries.

A number of the later entries were duplicates of existing entries. As duplicates are not allowed I have adjusted predictions where necessary by 0.01C to ensure all predictions are unique.

 LOL. Spot the outlier prediction

BTW - you need to give my name an extra U
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Caz Offline
#33 Posted : 16 January 2011 11:29:03(UTC)
Caz

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Posts: 9,227
Woman
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Younger Dryas Go to Quoted Post

Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

I have posted the final table with all the entries at the beginning of this thread. There are a total of 66 entries.

A number of the later entries were duplicates of existing entries. As duplicates are not allowed I have adjusted predictions where necessary by 0.01C to ensure all predictions are unique.

 LOL. Spot the outlier prediction

BTW - you need to give my name an extra U

The outlier is no surprise at all Yonger! 

I see the majority are going for a below average year, which is probably influenced by the recent cold spell.  I've noticed that when we end a period with below average temps, predictions tend to be on the low side and vice versa.

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Grant's Puffin Cam
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Global Warming Offline
#34 Posted : 01 February 2011 20:07:34(UTC)
Global Warming

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Posts: 3,776
United Kingdom
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke, Hants

Here is the position at the end of January. We are 0.51C below the 1971-2000 average.

Live Chineham weather data http://www.weatherlink.c...ew=summary&headers=1 [Davis VP2]
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heatandsnow Offline
#35 Posted : 21 February 2011 08:59:15(UTC)
heatandsnow

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Man
Location: isleworth, West London
Is it too late for me to guess?
If not, then I'll say 10.07
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Global Warming Offline
#36 Posted : 22 February 2011 21:43:11(UTC)
Global Warming

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Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 3,776
United Kingdom
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke, Hants

Originally Posted by: heatandsnow Go to Quoted Post
Is it too late for me to guess?
If not, then I'll say 10.07

Sorry it is too late now to enter the annual competition. But you can enter the March CET competition which has just opened in a separate thread.

Live Chineham weather data http://www.weatherlink.c...ew=summary&headers=1 [Davis VP2]
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heatandsnow Offline
#37 Posted : 23 February 2011 07:04:42(UTC)
heatandsnow

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Joined: 13/11/2010(UTC)
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Man
Location: isleworth, West London

Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

Originally Posted by: heatandsnow Go to Quoted Post
Is it too late for me to guess?
If not, then I'll say 10.07

Sorry it is too late now to enter the annual competition. But you can enter the March CET competition which has just opened in a separate thread.

Ok, thanks
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Global Warming Offline
#38 Posted : 02 March 2011 20:50:19(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 3,776
United Kingdom
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke, Hants

Here is the position at the end of February. We are now quite a bit above average following a warm month.

Live Chineham weather data http://www.weatherlink.c...ew=summary&headers=1 [Davis VP2]
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Global Warming Offline
#39 Posted : 01 April 2011 20:57:28(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 3,776
United Kingdom
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke, Hants

March update shows little change in deviation from the 1971-2000 mean. We are currently at 5.57C which is 0.65C above normal.

 

Live Chineham weather data http://www.weatherlink.c...ew=summary&headers=1 [Davis VP2]
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Gavin P Offline
#40 Posted : 14 April 2011 12:16:17(UTC)
Gavin Partridge

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Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
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Man
United Kingdom

Well I think we can safetly say my sub 9c prediction has gone down the pan!  Far more likely to be plus 10c than sub 9c.

Rural West Northants 120m asl

Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ http://gavsweathervids.com/
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