Thanks Steve

Do you think anyone will wonder who it was by? 

Forecast for the end of this week based on GFS & ECM 06z charts and GFS 00z precip and temperature charts:

Friday
 
Friday will be quite a pleasant day for most areas, and after the high humidity experienced on Wednesday and Thursday, it will feel much fresher. All areas will have a mixture of sunshine and scattered showers. The showers could be heavy, especially in central and eastern areas, but the thunder risk looks pretty low. Best of the sunshine will be found the further west you are. Due to the fresher conditions, and the fact that the wind will be strong at times from the NW, temperatures will be a little disappointing, only reaching 17-18C in many areas; perhaps a 20C in the southeast.

Showers are expected to die out overnight, with some potentially heavy rain reaching some western areas by the early hours of Saturday.

Saturday
 
Eastern areas will start the day dry and sunny, once any mist clears. Rain will soon spread from western parts to central parts, and the rain will be pretty heavy in places. Looking at the GFS precip charts, central areas and northern hills of Wales look most at risk from any flooding. 25-30mm of rain is possible in these areas.

The rain will spread to eastern parts during the afternoon, resulting in a rather forgettable day! Winds will be strong at times (especially in any heavier bursts of rain) from the west or southwest. Temperatures in any sun could reach 20C, especially in eastern areas. Further west under the cloud and rain 16-18C is your best bet. Scattered showers will affect western areas later in the day, once the main rain-band has cleared. Overnight any showers will die out, and the rain will clear eastern coasts pretty quickly.

Sunday

It looks like a day of sunshine and showers. Showers could be heavy and thundery in places, especially in eastern parts. Showers will tend to die out from the west later in the afternoon, before fizzling out completely during the evening hours. Again the winds will be a tad strong, and from the west generally. It will feel cool for August, with temps struggling into the high-teens again, maxxing out at 20-21C in the SE. Overnight there will be isolated showers, but it should be dry in most areas. Showers spreading to western parts by dawn on Monday.

Outlook – Showers or longer spells of rain for many into next week. Average temperatures, but feeling cooler in the wind

--Overnight lows for Friday, Saturday and Sunday night will typically range from 12-15C, knock about 3C off for Friday night – it’ll be a chilly one!--

 
Steve

I forecast there to be a nice spell of summer in last phase of august as AH builds strongly.

Hi,

I've released the Autumn 2008 forecast for Portugal, in genreral expecting a Dry & Warm.

Expecting above averages temperature and well bellow average precipitation specially in the 1st half of the season during September and a 2nd half more unstable and wet after mid November.

http://meteoiberia.com/forum/index.php?topic=1470.msg28924#new 

Anticiclonic glume and not expecting snow events at higher ground, hope I' wrong, but if here in Iberia area drier conditions we could well see HP ridging the UK or a Bartlet H.prevailence

hi im jonathon from england and this is my weather forecast for 2 weeks ahead. starting with this tuesday and it will be wet for most to start with in the morning with temps 20c in london. the afternoon will be abit dryier with some sunshine in the midlands and southeast. wednesday will be another rainy day with srong winds in the south temps 15c in the north to 17c in the south so cooler. thursday will be much warmer with sunny spells and temps as high as 21c in london to 18c further north. friday will still be warm  in the south bit turning much cooler in the north with temps 23c in south to just 14 to 15c in the north. the weekend will see it turn windy with rain and strong winds temps on the cool side as well. next week will stay cool and windy with further rain at times. the following week could see things turn much colder with some sleet in the north and snow at night aslo in the north.thats for september after the first week.and aslo frost will start to come at night in all but the west where it will stay mild. so winter looks like starting early for some and i know some people might disagree with me but whach this space

hmmmm.

jonathon:

hi im jonathon from england and this is my weather forecast for 2 weeks ahead. starting with this tuesday and it will be wet for most to start with in the morning with temps 20c in london. the afternoon will be abit dryier with some sunshine in the midlands and southeast. wednesday will be another rainy day with srong winds in the south temps 15c in the north to 17c in the south so cooler. thursday will be much warmer with sunny spells and temps as high as 21c in london to 18c further north. friday will still be warm  in the south bit turning much cooler in the north with temps 23c in south to just 14 to 15c in the north. the weekend will see it turn windy with rain and strong winds temps on the cool side as well. next week will stay cool and windy with further rain at times. the following week could see things turn much colder with some sleet in the north and snow at night aslo in the north.thats for september after the first week.and aslo frost will start to come at night in all but the west where it will stay mild. so winter looks like starting early for some and i know some people might disagree with me but whach this space

You're rather young, are you not?

Shirelord:

jonathon:

hi im jonathon from england and this is my weather forecast for 2 weeks ahead. starting with this tuesday and it will be wet for most to start with in the morning with temps 20c in london. the afternoon will be abit dryier with some sunshine in the midlands and southeast. wednesday will be another rainy day with srong winds in the south temps 15c in the north to 17c in the south so cooler. thursday will be much warmer with sunny spells and temps as high as 21c in london to 18c further north. friday will still be warm  in the south bit turning much cooler in the north with temps 23c in south to just 14 to 15c in the north. the weekend will see it turn windy with rain and strong winds temps on the cool side as well. next week will stay cool and windy with further rain at times. the following week could see things turn much colder with some sleet in the north and snow at night aslo in the north.thats for september after the first week.and aslo frost will start to come at night in all but the west where it will stay mild. so winter looks like starting early for some and i know some people might disagree with me but whach this space

 

 

You're rather young, are you not?

Awww, leave the poor lad alone. Who knows, he may yet surprise us!

Ian D J:

Shirelord:

jonathon:

hi im jonathon from england and this is my weather forecast for 2 weeks ahead. starting with this tuesday and it will be wet for most to start with in the morning with temps 20c in london. the afternoon will be abit dryier with some sunshine in the midlands and southeast. wednesday will be another rainy day with srong winds in the south temps 15c in the north to 17c in the south so cooler. thursday will be much warmer with sunny spells and temps as high as 21c in london to 18c further north. friday will still be warm  in the south bit turning much cooler in the north with temps 23c in south to just 14 to 15c in the north. the weekend will see it turn windy with rain and strong winds temps on the cool side as well. next week will stay cool and windy with further rain at times. the following week could see things turn much colder with some sleet in the north and snow at night aslo in the north.thats for september after the first week.and aslo frost will start to come at night in all but the west where it will stay mild. so winter looks like starting early for some and i know some people might disagree with me but whach this space

 

 

You're rather young, are you not?

Awww, leave the poor lad alone. Who knows, he may yet surprise us!

Well it's raining not snowing here, so the forecast is wrong wrong wrong imo

We shall see!  

jonathon:

hi im jonathon from england and this is my weather forecast for 2 weeks ahead. starting with this tuesday and it will be wet for most to start with in the morning with temps 20c in london. the afternoon will be abit dryier with some sunshine in the midlands and southeast. wednesday will be another rainy day with srong winds in the south temps 15c in the north to 17c in the south so cooler. thursday will be much warmer with sunny spells and temps as high as 21c in london to 18c further north. friday will still be warm  in the south bit turning much cooler in the north with temps 23c in south to just 14 to 15c in the north. the weekend will see it turn windy with rain and strong winds temps on the cool side as well. next week will stay cool and windy with further rain at times. the following week could see things turn much colder with some sleet in the north and snow at night aslo in the north.thats for september after the first week.and aslo frost will start to come at night in all but the west where it will stay mild. so winter looks like starting early for some and i know some people might disagree with me but whach this space

Snow??? This summer gets worse and worse! - good luck Jonothan - thanks for posting

Heres my September guess;

SEPTEMBER:

I expect the UK to be in a unsettled flow for the first week of the month, with the Azores High slipping away from southern parts, with all parts of the country seeing wet and windy conditions.

Thereafter, I expect the Azores High to be generally kept away to the south-west and low pressure remains the driving force, with several wet and windy days possible through the middle two weeks. Transient periods of high pressure will be likely, particularly around mid month, when we could get a few dry days together with some warm sunshine as well.

The final week sees a probable pressure rise to the west with low pressure to the east. So the west has a drier spell, whilst the east remains wet at times. Cool northerly winds everywhere.

Temps for September look around, perhaps a bit under average, by as much as 0.5c. Rainfall for September looks above average by as much as 50%.

I have taken the scientific approach by throwing a couple of darts at my dartboard. First shot was double top. That tells me we are going to have warm southerlies as the 'Spanish Plume' visits these shores with a vengeance.

Second shot was a bullseye, telling me that we will have above average sunshine totals. All in all a pretty good month by my reckoning.

Notice Brian has his forecast up. BG, if you are around, how do you come up with it?

weatherwise:

BG, if you are around, how do you come up with it?