24th June 2022
Wimbledon 2022 starts on Monday 27th June and and finishes on Sunday 10th July. Unsettled weather isn't unusual in late June and early July. Despite that the record books show that Wimbledon loses only one complete day every fours years due to rain, but showers more frequently cause short delays. So how is the weather looking this year?
By Spiralz from England (5.46pm ~ Centre Court) [CC BY 2.0], via Wikimedia Commons
June has brought a lot of dry weather to the London area. Temperatures have fluctuated with the provisional Central England Temperature (CET) to the 21st 0.5C above the 30 year average.
At the start of the Wimbledon fortnight low pressure areas in the Atlantic are expected to be controlling the UK's weather. They will bring changeable conditions, but showers or longer spells of rain are more likely in the west. Despite that, there could be showery rain in the Wimbledon area at times.
Through the second half of the first week there are signs of it turning warmer. Temperatures may climb into the mid or even upper 20Cs in south eastern England. There are also tentative indications of the risk of showers increasing and that could lead to thundery conditions.
When looking further ahead forecast confidence quickly falls away. Therefore, the prospects for the second week may be looking very different even in a few days time. Nonetheless, there are signs of pressure being a little higher than the 30 year average.
The chart below basically shows the forecast pressure anomaly for days 10 to 15 ahead from the start time which was Friday 24th June. It averages the forecasts for the period Monday July 4th to Friday July 8th. The yellow shading over the United Kingdom shows a positive anomaly forecast.
Significantly higher than average pressure would suggest the likelihood of it being drier than normal. The anomaly isn't strong at the moment though, so the suggestion would probably be for close to average conditions.
On balance the weather prospects for the Wimbledon fortnight are quite promising at the time of publication. There could be some showery rain around and even a chance of thunderstorms. However, there should also be a lot of dry and quite warm periods.
Use the links below to check the latest forecasts which update every 6 hours.
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Models include UK Met Office UKV and MOGREPS-G, ECMWF, NCEP GFS, Meteo France Arpege and Arome.