Enter a UK place or postcode or use
The meteorological spring runs from March 1st to May 31st. At the start of the season cold weather is a risk and March often brings more snow than December. By May genuine warmth is possible.
Winter 2020/21 has been varied so far. The provisional UK mean temperature for December was 4.3C, which is 0.5C above the 1981-2010 long-term average. January has been a mixed month with the provisional Central England Temperature (CET) until the 18th running 0.7C below the 30 year average.
At the moment the outlook is a changeable one. In the south a mix of colder and milder spells is expected. Northern parts of the UK probably spend more time under a cold air mass. On balance the current guidance suggests February could be quite a chilly month.
Publicly available data from most of the seasonal models now covers the three month spring period.
M/A/M = March, April, May
The Climate Forecast System v2 is available on TWO. View the latest CFS v2 charts.
At this stage aggregated temperatures for March, April and May are considered more likely to be above average than below. However, even in that scenario sharp cold snaps are still possible. The seasonal models do not show a clear signal for precipitation anomalies at this stage.
Tentative suggestions for the coming spring are:
1) Over the 3 month period temperatures are more likely to be above average than below
2) There is no clear signal for precipitation to deviate significantly from the 30 year average. Nonetheless, this could change in future updates
The TWO seasonal forecast will be updated to cover the spring months on February 28th.
We welcome all press enquiries, whether relating to this news feature, or seeking comment on other weather news.
You are subscribed to push notifications.
You are not subscribed.
Click the Notify Me! button and then Allow. You can stop them at any time.
Get weather updates by email
Spring 2021
Air mass temperatures since 1961
Winter 2020-21 forecast
Winter 2020-21 final preview
Weather time capsule
UK forecasts
14 day outlook
Monthly outlook
Seasonal outlook
7 day timeline
7 day forecast
16 day forecast
16 day risk
Cookies
Policy
Manage
Privacy
Sitemap
Contact Us
Commercial services
Disclaimer
About TWO