A mostly dry outlook for the south

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[Published 06:20 02/02/2023]

Near to Berkhamsted Hole-punch cloud. Posted by brian gaze

The weather continues in a similar vein during the next few days. The south will be mostly dry, but in the north there will be showers or longer spells of rain at times. It will also be mild, although by Sunday temperatures are expected to be dipping back towards the average. (If you would like to browse the website without adverts until the end of the year and contribute to its ongoing development you can do so by making a donation of £20 or more via PayPal, see below).


Thursday starts dry in southern and central counties. In the far north west it is very wet, and in other parts of the north there are a few spots of rain around.

Through the day heavy outbreaks of rain continue to affect western and northern Scotland. Elsewhere some bright spells develop, although there will be a lot of cloud. A few spots of rain are possible in places, mostly in western counties. Windy, especially in the north.

Mild. Temperatures range from 7C (45F) to 12C (54F) in the south. See the rain radar for the latest view.

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UKV 1
UK Met Office UKV, rain and snow, 15:00 Thursday, 2nd February

Tonight showery spells of rain push southwards across the northern half of the UK and steadily fade away. Areas to their south and north will be mainly dry. Very mild.

Tomorrow outbreaks of rain push northeastwards across the northern half of the UK. In southern and central regions it stays mostly dry and overcast. Very mild.

UKV 2
UK Met Office UKV, temperatures, 15:00 Friday, 3rd February

High pressure influential

Saturday sees a band of rain moving down across the northern half of the UK. Colder and showery conditions follow it into Scotland during the second half of the day. Generally dry in southern and central Britain until the evening, although there could be a few spots of rain around. Rather mild to the south of the rain band.

At this stage Sunday is looking dry in most of the UK. However, there could be patchy outbreaks of rain in the far north west. Patchy frost early and late.

Forecast confidence falls early next week, but most computer models are suggesting that high pressure will have a lot of influence. Therefore, a good deal of dry weather is likely, but there is a risk of patchy frost and fog. A few computer models runs are suggesting that high pressure will build further north allowing a cold easterly flow to develop across the southern half of the UK. However, this is currently considered a much less likely scenario.

GFS chart 1
GFS, surface pressure and precipitation, 15:00 Monday, 6th February

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Near to Berkhamsted Hole-punch cloud. Posted by brian gaze View full size.

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