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Thundery downpours lead to flood risk

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[Updated 08:20 15/08/2022]

Distant storms. Posted by toppiker60

Torrential downpours are likely in southern and central Britain today. In places they lead to the possibility of flash flooding and travel disruption. It will be cooler than recently as temperatures continue to dip. Tomorrow heavy showery bursts of rain remain a risk and they increasingly become focused on central and south eastern England.


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Distant storms. Posted by toppiker60 View the full size picture.

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Tuesday starts wet in the north east of Britain. There are also thundery downpours in southern and central counties.

Through the day outbreaks of rain in the north become patchier and they pull away eastwards. In southern and central counties thundery showers remain a risk this morning. During the afternoon intense downpours are most likely in the south west, central counties and East Anglia. Flash flooding and travel disruption are possible. Despite that, there will be sunny spells in places. 

The cooling trend continues. Temperatures range from 14C (57F) in the far north to 25C (77F) in the south east and East Anglia. See the rain radar for the latest view.

UKV 1
Met Office UKV, rain, 15:00 Tuesday, 16th August

Tonight downpours continue to affect much of England and Wales. Scotland and Northern Ireland should be mainly dry.


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Tomorrow thundery outbreaks of rain will be slow moving in southern and central areas. However, they increasingly become centred on central counties as well as the south east and East Anglia. To their north and west it is expected to be generally dry, bright and fresh. Temperatures generally close to the seasonal average.

UKV 2
Met Office UKV, rain, 15:00 Wednesday, 17th August

Cooler and changeable

Through Thursday a band of rain pushes into the west and north of the UK, but it becomes increasingly fragmented. There could also be a few hefty showers still in the south east. Other areas should be dry and bright. Feeling pleasantly warm in sunny spells.

Friday is looking mixed. A fragmenting band of showery rain clears southeastwards. Brighter conditions follow, but in the north west there could be showers at times.

Forecast confidence for Saturday is low. At the present time it is expected to mostly fine with warm sunny spells in southern and central England. To the north and west there is a greater risk of showers or longer periods of rain and it will be cooler.

GFS chart 1
GFS, surface pressure and precipitation, 15:00 Saturday, 20th August

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