Mixed but milder weekend

[Updated 07:20 23/10/2021]

Bedruthan / Carnewas (NT) N Cornwall coast, uncertain weather, 22 Oct  2017. Posted by slowoldgit

A mixed weekend is on the way but temperatures will be higher than recently. Today outbreaks of rain push into the north west, but in most other areas it stays dry. Tomorrow the risk of showery rain extends southeastwards. Early next week the changeable theme continues.

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Bedruthan / Carnewas (NT) N Cornwall coast, uncertain weather, 22 Oct 2017. Posted by slowoldgit View the full size picture.

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Saturday starts with a few showers in the west. However, most places are dry and in the east it is quite chilly. 

This morning showers in the west gradually fade away. Through the afternoon persistent outbreaks of rain push eastwards across Northern Ireland and into western Scotland. It also becomes windy with gales in coastal locations. 

Elsewhere it will be dry. Central and eastern counties have the brightest conditions.

Temperatures range from 8C (46F) in Scotland to 14C (57F) in the south. See the rain and lightning radar for the latest view.

UK Met Office UKV, rain, 16:00, Saturday 23rd October

Tonight outbreaks of rain push southeastwards across northern and western Britain. Much of central and eastern England remains dry. Milder than recently.

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Tomorrow the band of rain in the north and west becomes increasingly showery as it edges southeastwards. In places the showers could be heavy, but large parts of eastern England probably remain dry.

Meteo France Arpege 2
Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 Sunday, 24th October

Mixed outlook

Monday is looking mixed. Showers develop and they may become quite widespread, with the heaviest ones probably in west. Despite that, there should be bright spells too.

During Tuesday outbreaks of rain push eastwards across the northern half of the UK. Drier conditions follow for a time, but late in the day another batch of rain could reach Northern Ireland. Southern and central regions should be mainly dry. Quite mild, particularly in the south.

Forecast details for Wednesday are uncertain. At this stage it looks as though a band of rain will push southeastwards reaching Wales and central England in the afternoon. To its southeast it will be very mild and dry. It probably also turns dry in much of the north. 

Through the rest of the week the weather remains changeable. Further spells of rain are likely, particularly in the north and west. The south and east probably have a reasonable amount of dry periods.

GFS chart 1
GFS, surface pressure and precipitation, 16:00 Thursday, 28th October

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