Heavy rain mostly in the east

[Updated 08:55 19/09/2021]

Leaden sky over Berkhamsted castle. Posted by brian gaze

The weather remains mixed today. Patchy bands of rain push across the UK and there is the potential for downpours, particularly in the east. Through the coming week a changeable theme is expected to continue. Later on there are signs of it turning rather cool, wet and windy, particularly in the north.

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Leaden sky over Berkhamsted castle. Posted by brian gaze View the full size picture.

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Sunday starts with bands of patchy rain affecting parts of the UK. Through the day they push eastwards and there is the possibility of downpours in central and eastern England. Brighter conditions follow into much of the west, but further showers are likely. Cooler than recently.  

Temperatures range from 14C (57F) in the north west to 20C (68F) in the south east and East Anglia. See the rain and lightning radar for the latest view.

Meteo France Arpege 1
Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 Sunday, 19th September

Tonight heavy rain in central and eastern England becomes lighter and patchier. Areas to the north and west have clear spells and it turns quite chilly. Fog could form in places by the morning.

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Tomorrow showers continue in central and eastern England for a time, but by mid afternoon it should be mostly dry. There is also a risk of rain in northern and western Scotland. Other areas will be dry and bright. Temperatures close to the seasonal average.

Meteo France Arpege 2
Meteo France Arpege, temperatures, 16:00 Monday, 20th September

Uncertain next week

Tuesday is looking dry in most of the UK, although there is a possibility of rain in western Scotland. Cloud amounts vary. In sunny spells it feels pleasantly warm.

During Wednesday a band of rain pushes southeastwards. By the late afternoon it may be straddled across the south west, Wales and northern England. Areas to the south east remain dry and bright. To the north west there will be sunny spells but also heavy showers. Quite windy.

Forecast confidence for the rest of the week is low. The favoured outcome is for showery conditions in all regions to begin with. Later on it probably remains cool and changeable in the north. In the south there is a greater chance of dry periods.

GFS chart 1
GFS, surface pressure and precipitation, 16:00 Friday, 24th September

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