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Halloween 2019 weather

Colder and more settled?


28/10/2019

Overview

Late October often brings unsettled weather but fine and settled spells are also perfectly possible. Halloween 2014 was the warmest on record in the UK. Gravesend, Kent and Kew Gardens, Greater London both recorded temperatures of 23.6C (74.3F) on 31st October and in much of the south temperatures exceeded 20C (68F).

Halloween
By Rene Cunningham (Flickr: Borough Market) [CC BY 2.0], via Wikimedia Commons

This year's Halloween weather

Computer models show cold and dry conditions in the short term. However, by Halloween more unsettled weather is expected to be returning from the west. Forecast details are uncertain but there are indications of rain in places.

The GFS 06z chart below shows the forecast rainfall at 18:00GMT on Halloween. Patchy rain is affecting the north east of the UK with heavier outbreaks in Northern Ireland and western Britain. Areas in between are mainly dry, although the model shows murky and overcast skies.

GFS 06z precipitation plot for Halloween 2019

Summary

The weather prospects for Halloween 2019 are still somewhat uncertain. Nonetheless there is growing confidence of it becoming more unsettled again as milder and wetter conditions push in from the west. Central and possibly eastern areas could stay drier and colder.

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