News and information

Grand National 2018

Weather prospects


11/04/2018

Overview

The Randox Grand National 2018 Festival at Aintree begins on Thursday 12th April and the big race itself is run at 17:15 on Saturday 14th April. The weather can be a very important factor. To large extent it determines what the going will be like and individual horses may prefer particular conditions.

Horse racing

By Paul (Finishing Post At Aintree) [CC BY 2.0], via Wikimedia Commons

What's the latest forecast?

Computer models show the UK sandwiched between high pressure to the east of the UK and low pressure to the west during the Aintree Festival period.

The charts below are from today's GFS06z model and are valid for Saturday 14th April. The key things the plots show for Grand National day are:

1) Temperatures are looking reasonable for the time of year. Values are in the mid teens Celsius and in sunny spells it should feel pleasant.

2) There is a risk of showery rain. However there is a reasonable chance of it staying dry and washout conditions are not expected.

Temperature forecast

GFS 07z temperatures

Precipitation forecast

GFS 06z precipitation

 

Summary and forecast links

At the time of this update [11:45 BST, 11/04] the weather prospects for the Aintree Festival are reasonable. Mild or even quite warm conditions are favoured but there is a risk showers. A further update will be issued on 12/04. To check the latest forecast use the links below.

High resolution 3 day hour by hour (best for 0 to 3 days ahead).

3 day hourly weather forecast

16 day forecast for Aintree which updates every 6 hours (best for 4 to 7 days ahead).

16 day Aintree, Merseyside weather forecast

Those of you who want to follow things in more depth should follow the 16 day probability forecast for Liverpool which updates every 6 hours. This shows the range of outcomes the GEFS computer model considers possible (best for more than 7 days ahead).

16 day Liverpool region probability forecast

 

Press and media enquiries

We welcome all press enquiries, whether relating to this news feature, or seeking comment on other weather news.

Contact us

 

MORE NEWS


LATEST NEWS

Heavy rain in the south

NEWSLETTER

Get weather updates by email

Register now

TODAY'S WEATHER

7 day charts

RECENT FEATURES

UK winter 2018/19

September prospects

Christmas weather 2018

Autumn 2018

August Bank Holiday