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Bonfire Night 2017

Chance of a cold one?


03/11/2017

Overview

Guy Fawkes night falls on a Sunday this year so many fireworks parties are likely to take place on Saturday 4th November. In recent years mild and damp conditions have been quite typical with cold and frost at a premium. Could this Bonfire Night buck the trend?

Fireworks
Firework photomontage" by Billy Hicks - Own work. Licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0 via Wikimedia Commons

The weather is looking promising

Autumn has brought mixed weather to date. There have been stormy spells but also quieter and calmer periods. September temperatures were very close to the 30 year average but October was a very mild month. 

Saturday 4th November

The latest data suggests the Bonfire Night weekend will be cold with a good deal of dry weather. On Saturday rain pushes eastwards probably clearing from East Anglia by the late afternoon. There will be showers in the north and west which could fall as snow over the Scottish Highlands.

The precipitation chart below is for 19:00GMT, Saturday 4th November. It shows showers in the north and west but dry conditions elsewhere.

Arpege 12z precipitation 19GMT, Saturday 4th November

Sunday 5th November

Showers are expected early in the day but they become lighter and fade away to leave a mostly dry afternoon. The evening should be cold and clear with a frost developing overnight.

The precipitation chart below is for 19:00GMT, Saturday 4th November. It shows generally dry conditions.

Arpege 12z precipitation 19GMT, Sunday 5th November

Summary

A good deal of cold and dry weather is expected on Saturday and Sunday nights. Showers are more likely in the north and west on Saturday. It will be cold so wrap up warm if you're heading out to a fireworks display.

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