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Wimbledon 2017 starts on Monday 3rd July and and finishes on Sunday 16th July. Unsettled weather isn't unusual in late June and early July. Despite this the record books show that Wimbledon loses only one complete day every fours years due to rain, but showers more frequently cause short delays. So is the weather going to serve up an Ace this year?
By Spiralz from England (5.46pm ~ Centre Court) [CC BY 2.0], via Wikimedia Commons
In recent days the weather has turned very unsettled but there are signs of an improvement. During the Wimbledon fortnight high pressure should be having quite a lot of influence on the weather and this means there is a good chance of warmer and drier spells. Nonetheless disturbances from the Atlantic could push southeastwards on occasion and they bring the risk of wet spells. There is also a chance of thundery showers breaking out if warm continental air just to the south of the UK returns.
The GEFS6z ensemble chart below is for Wednesday 5th July. Each stamp image represents the forecast from one computer model run in the ensemble. Most of the runs show high pressure stretching up from the southwest but on a number low pressure remains close to the northwest of the UK. That suggests reasonable weather prospects but things are quite finely balanced and it would not take much change for the outlook to change.
High pressure probably has quite a lot of influence on the weather across southern England during the tournament period but the chance of wetter spells remains. On balance the Wimbledon weather prospects look reasonable but some disruption in play is a distinct possibility. A washout and scheduling problems currently aren't expected. Temperatures will probably be slightly above the seasonal average for much of the period.
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