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Lightning, taken near Leek, Staffordshire by toppiker60 View the full size picture.

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Saturday starts dry in much of the country but there is an area of heavy rain in north eastern England. Through the day it moves northwards into Scotland. Elsewhere there will be sunny spells but also showers, although East Anglia and the south eastern corner probably miss most of them. Some heavy and thundery ones are likely, particularly in Wales and areas to the west of London. In the south west more prolonged spells of rain develop.

Temperatures range from 16C (61F) in the north east to 24C (75F) in central and eastern England. See the rain radar for the latest view.

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Sat 13th June

Tonight the showers steadily fade away, although a few continue in the south west and parts of Scotland. Temperatures generally stay in double figures.

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Tomorrow it's a similar picture. There will be warm sunny periods but showers break out again with the heaviest ones in western Britain and Northern Ireland. Eastern and south eastern counties have a mostly dry day. Temperatures possibly reach 27C (81F) in East Anglia.

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Sun 14th June

High pressure returning?

Monday brings sunny spells and showers. If anything the showers are likely to be more widespread than in recent days. Generally warm but temperatures in the east may be be a little lower than in recent days.

The warm and showery theme continues through Tuesday and Wednesday. The showers will be hit and miss but some  heavy and thundery will be mixed in. 

During the second half of the week it looks as though high pressure becomes established to the northeast of the UK. It should lead to a lot of dry and warm weather. Towards the end of the period the risk of rain may increase again as an area of low pressure approaches from the west. 

GFS, surface pressure and 500hPa heights, 16:00 BST Thu 18th June

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