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Saturday starts with showers in northern and western areas. Elsewhere it is mainly dry and bright. Through the day heavy showers continue in Northern Ireland and Scotland. England and Wales have a lot of dry weather, although there is a risk of some showers, especially in the south. It will be blustery with gales in the north west. Some interruptions to play in the second Ashes Test Match at Lord's are possible.

Temperatures range from 15C (59F) in the north west to 22C (72F) in the south east. See the rain radar for the latest view.

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Sat 17th August

Tonight showers become more persistent in the north and north west. There is also a risk of outbreaks of rain affecting parts of southern England and Wales.

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Tomorrow may start wet in parts of southern and central England but through the morning it turns drier from the west. Heavy showery rain continues in northern areas and Northern Ireland. There could also be scattered showers in Wales and south western England in the afternoon. Temperatures will be similar to today's.

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Sun 18th August

Drier and warmer outlook probable

The rather mixed theme continues on Monday. Showers return and they probably become quite widespread. It will still be cool.

By Tuesday the showers probably become increasingly confined to central and northern counties as high pressure starts building from the southwest. Southern counties should have a lot of dry and bright weather.

During the rest of the week there is some uncertainty but the latest guidance suggests that drier and warmer conditions will spread northwards. High pressure is expected to build and it may keep things mostly fine through the Bank Holiday weekend.

GFS, 500hPa heights and MSLP, 16:00 BST Thu 22nd August

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