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A new UK temperature record is very possible. Computer models show maximum temperatures of between 37C and 40C in central and eastern England today. What could stop it happening is cloudier intervals and scattered showers this afternoon. Based on this morning's data the chance is estimated to be around 40%.  

In the north and west showers cloudier skies bring some showery rain. It will be warm but not exceptionally so.  

Temperatures range from 23C (73F) in the north west to 38C (100F) in central or eastern England. Locally values may reach 39C (102F) and 40C (104F) is not totally discounted. See the rain radar for the latest view.

Meteo France Arpege, temperatures, 16:00 BST Thu 25th July

Tonight thunderstorms spread north and east. Western areas become drier.

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Monthly forecast

Buzz

Autumn 2019 prospects

Tomorrow starts with heavy and thundery showers in southern and eastern counties. During the day downpours affect much of central and eastern Britain. The west should be mainly dry with sunny spells. East Anglia may also remain mostly dry and hot. Elsewhere it will be a lot cooler.

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Fri 26th July

Mixed weekend 

On Saturday heavy outbreaks of rain are likely in the north east of Britain. There could also be thundery showers in the south eastern corner. Elsewhere it should be mainly dry with variable amounts of cloud. In sunny spells it feels warm.

Sunday probably sees patchy outbreaks of rain pushing west into central regions. The south west, Wales and parts of the north east have the driest and sunniest conditions.  

Early next week could become mainly dry and very warm in southern and central regions. The north and west remain more changeable. 

GFS, 500hPa heights and MSLP, 16:00 BST Sun 28th July

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