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Wednesday starts wet in Northern Ireland and western Scotland. Elsewhere it is mainly dry. Through the day outbreaks of rain spread across much of the north and west. The rain will be heavy at times. Much of southern, central and eastern England stays dry and bright.

Temperatures range from 15C (59F) in the north west to 26C (78F) in eastern England. See the rain radar for the latest view.

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Wed 17th July

Tonight the band of rain pushes southeastwards but in the south it becomes quite patchy. By the morning clearer skies follow into western and central regions with showers in the north west.

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Monthly forecast

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Autumn 2019 prospects

Tomorrow morning the remnants of the wet weather clear from the south east. In the north showers develop but elsewhere it should be mostly fine. Temperatures will be lower than in recent days.

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Thu 18th July

Warming up again at the weekend

Friday starts dry but through the day outbreaks of rain push northeastwards. The heaviest bursts may well be in southern and central areas. Northern Scotland probably stay mostly dry.

The weekend is looking mixed. On Saturday showers are expected to be widespread. By Sunday it becomes drier and warmer with temperatures in the south possibly reaching 27C (81F). In the far north west there could be some rain later on.

Next week probably starts fine in southern and eastern areas. Temperatures could climb above 30C (86F) on Monday and Tuesday. The north and west have more changeable conditions.

During the middle part of the week it looks as though cooler and showery weather will return southeastwards. However there is uncertainty and a minority of computer model runs show extreme heat in the south.

GFS 500hPa heights and MSLP, 16:00 BST Mon 22nd July

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16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

Temperatures remain close to the average for much of the time. A mix of settled and changeable periods is expected. View latest GEFS.