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Thursday starts with patchy rain in the north and east of the UK. This morning sunny intervals develop and in the northern half of the country the showers become focused on eastern counties. At times they could be heavy and thundery, There is also a likelihood of showers bubbling up across central England and Wales. Areas to the south of London should have a dry day.

Temperatures range from 18C (64F) in the north west to a humid 26C (78F) in the south. See the rain radar for the latest view.

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Thu 11th July

Tonight showers continue in coastal counties around the northern half of the country. Elsewhere it becomes dry.

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Monthly forecast

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Summer forecast Issued 01/06/2019

Tomorrow showers return in northern and eastern areas but they should be more scattered than today. Other parts of the country have a dry day with warm sunny spells. 

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Fri 12th July

Possibly more unsettled next week

By Saturday high pressure will be building over the UK. Showers become scattered and a lot of fine weather is expected. It remains pleasantly warm. It's a similar picture for Sunday.

During the first half of next week showers may become more widespread again. Despite that there should continue to be plenty of dry and sunny periods.

Through the second half of the week forecast confidence falls. The latest guidance suggests an increasing change of rain as areas of low pressure moving in from the Atlantic gain the upper hand over high pressure centred to the southwest.

GFS 500hPa heights and MSLP, 16:00 BST Tue 16th July

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16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

Temperatures remain close to the average for much of the time. A mix of settled and changeable periods is expected. View latest GEFS.