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Thursday starts dry across the UK. Early cloud breaks and sunny periods develop, but the far north of Scotland probably remains cloudier. The south has quite windy day and in the south west and the English Channel gales are possible.

Temperatures range from 18C (64F) in the east to 26C (78F) locally in the south and west. See the rain radar for the latest view.

Meteo France Arpege, temperatures, 16:00 BST Thu 27th June

Tonight it stays dry and clear spells develop widely. It remains windy in the south.

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Monthly forecast

Buzz

Summer forecast Issued 01/06/2019

Tomorrow brings more fine weather to much of the country, however there is an increasing risk of showers in Northern Ireland later in the day. Locally in the south and west temperatures could reach 30C (86F). It will be quite windy again in the south west.

Meteo France Arpege, cloud cover, 16:00 BST Fri 28th June

Change this weekend

Saturday it warms up further in central and eastern areas. There is a chance of 34C (93F) being recorded which would make it the hottest day of the year so far. In the north and west showery outbreaks of rain develop and they are likely to be heavy in places.

Through Sunday the hot continental air continues to be shunted away southeastwards. Therefore it will be cooler but the south should still have warm sunny periods. In the north and west showers continue.

Fresher weather continues in early July but it should be mainly dry with a good amount of sunshine. There are indications of it warming up again during the second week of the month.

GFS 500hPa heights and MSLP, 16:00 BST Tue 2nd July

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16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

After a very warm or hot start temperatures fall back towards the average. A good deal of settled weather is shown. View latest GEFS.