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Wednesday starts with showery rain in much of northern and western England, and Wales. In the far north west there are showers too. This morning thundery downpours move northeastwards across south east England and East Anglia. They could lead to flash flooding and difficult driving conditions. Showery outbreaks of rain in the west push eastwards and brighter skies follow. In the north west showers become more widespread and heavier.

Temperatures range from 14C (57F) in the north to 22C (72F) in the south east. See the rain radar for the latest view.

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Wed 19th June

Tonight showers continue in the north and west. Elsewhere it becomes dry with clear spells.

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Monthly forecast

Buzz

Summer forecast Issued 01/06/2019

Tomorrow brings mixed weather. In Scotland showers could merge to give longer spells of rain. There could also be heavy showers in southern and eastern England. It will be quite cool for mid June.

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Thu 20th June

Hot next week?

Friday brings sunny spells and showers to the northern half of the UK. In the south scattered it should be mainly dry. Temperatures will be similar to recent days.

Saturday looks mostly fine in England and Wales. Showers continue to affect Northern Ireland and Scotland. It will be warmer than recently, especially in the south. Sunday is expected to be warm, although the risk of showers remains in the north. Later in the day outbreaks of heavy rain could push into the south west.

Forecast confidence for early next week is low. Computer models are showing heavy outbreaks of rain pushing northwards during Monday and Tuesday. They could mostly affect western and central regions. In the east and south east it possibly turns hot as a plume of very warm upper level air moves in from the continent.

GFS 500hPa heights and pressure, 16:00 BST Mon 24th June

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16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

A trend towards drier conditions is shown in the short term. Around the 20th June the risk of it turning wetter increases again. Temperatures fluctuate but in the south it could become warm or very warm for a time. View latest GEFS.