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Sunday starts with showers in the west. Eastern areas are mainly dry. Through the day heavy showers spreads eastwards and at times they could be thundery. There will be bright spells too, with the best of them in the south eastern corner where it possibly remains mainly dry.

Temperatures range from 14C (57F) in the west to 21C (70F) in the south eastern corner. See the rain radar for the latest view.

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Sun 16th June

Tonight it becomes drier in central and eastern counties. In the north west, Wales and south western England showers continue.

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Monthly forecast

Buzz

Summer forecast Issued 01/06/2019

Tomorrow showers affect northern and possibly central regions. In southern counties it should be mainly dry and bright. In sunny spells it feels pleasantly warm.

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Mon 17th June

Improving for a time

During Tuesday it warms up across the southern half of the UK. Temperatures in the south push into the mid 20Cs, but the risk of heavy thundery showers increases.

During Wednesday downpours spread northwards. At this stage there is uncertainty about where the heaviest rain will be, but some computer models are showing the possibility of another 30mm to 50mm of rain in Wales and northern England. 

Thursday and Friday look cooler and showery. By the weekend the showers may become more scattered as high pressure builds. 

The longer term outlook remains mixed. Sunny and quite warm spells are likely, especially in the south. There is also a risk of heavy and thundery showers.

GFS 500hPa heights and pressure, 16:00 BST Sat 22nd June

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16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

A trend towards drier conditions is shown in the short term. Around the 20th June the risk of it turning wetter increases again. Temperatures fluctuate but in the south it could become warm or very warm for a time. View latest GEFS.