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Tuesday starts with heavy rain in central and northern England, Wales and parts of the southwest. To the southeast the rain is patchier and to north it is mainly dry. During the day the main area of wet weather doesn't move much and in places some very large rain totals will be recorded. To the south a few brighter spells develop but there is a risk of heavy and thundery showers. Scotland and Northern Ireland have a mix of sunny spells and showers.

It will be another very cool day in much of the country with temperatures ranging from 10C (50F) to 14C (57F). The exception is the south eastern corner where 21C (70F) is possible due to the combination of warmer air feeding in from the continent and cloud breaks. See the rain radar for the latest view.

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Tue 11th June

Tonight the persistent rain pushes a little further north and west. It could reach southern parts of Scotland by the end of the night. To north and south it turns drier as showers fade away.

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Monthly forecast

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Summer forecast Issued 01/06/2019

Tomorrow the main band of rain becomes fragmented and moves away westwards across Northern Ireland. Further heavy and showery outbreaks of rain move in from the east and affect much of the country. There is the potential for downpours in places which could lead to localised flooding and difficult driving conditions. Temperatures should generally be a little higher than today's.

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Wed 12th June

Unsettled spell possibly moderates

The unsettled theme continues on Thursday. An area of low pressure will be sitting over the UK and it brings the likelihood of further heavy wet weather. There should be some drier and brighter intervals too. The best of them may be in the south and north of the UK. Little changes on Friday.

The latest guidance for the weekend is suggesting a mixed picture. A ridge of high pressure probably starts trying to build over the south with low pressure becoming centred further north. The exact positioning of the the two will determine the outcome. The chance of drier and brighter period should increase in the south.   

GFS 500hPa heights and pressure, 16:00 BST Sat 15th June

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16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

Very wet conditions are shown in the southern half of the UK early on. In the longer term it remains changeable with upper air temperatures close to the 30 year average. View latest GEFS.