Frozen In Time

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Sunny spells and heavy showers

[Updated 07:15 20/05/2019]

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The coming week is looking mixed. Most places see showery rain but there will also be fine periods. The Bank Holiday weekend details remain uncertain. Computer models are beginning to show the Azores high pressure having more influence on the UK's weather. That suggests an increased chance of drier and warmer conditions in the south at least....READ IN FULL

Monday starts with showers in the south and east. There are patchy outbreak of rain In Scotland too, but elsewhere it is dry. This morning cloud breaks and sunny spells develop quite widely. Through the afternoon showers become more widespread and some of them will be heavy. Light winds mean they will be slow moving so if you catch one it is likely to hang around for a while.   

Temperatures range from 13C (55F) in the north west to 20C (68F) in the south east. See the rain radar for the latest view.

Arpege forecast chart 1

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Mon 20th May

Tonight heavy showers continue in eastern Scotland. Elsewhere it becomes dry with variable amounts of cloud. 


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Tomorrow most of the showers are expected to be in north eastern Britain. Other areas have a dry day with spells of warm sunshine. Afternoon temperatures in the south approach 21C (70F).

Arpege forecast chart 2

Meteo France Arpege, temperatures, 16:00 BST Tue 21st May

North to south split for the Bank Holiday?

Wednesday looks fine in much of the UK as a ridge of high pressure builds. The exceptions are northern Scotland where there is the risk of rain and the north east where isolated showers are possible. It will be warm, especially in the south. 

During Thursday showery rain and cooler conditions begin to push in from the west. Central and eastern Britain  probably stay dry and warm, although cloud could build. Temperatures in East Anglia and the south east may reach 24C (75F).  

A changeable set-up is favoured for Friday and the Bank Holiday weekend. Showery rain is possible at times, especially in the north. However computer model runs are increasingly showing the Azores high pressure having more influence on the UK 's weather. That suggests the south west, and perhaps the south more generally, may often be dry and bright. 

From Brian Gaze, TWO founder
Since establishing TheWeatherOutlook over 15 years ago the site has grown enormously and running costs have risen. I intend to continue expanding TWO and keeping it free if possible. If you find it useful and would like to contribute to its development please consider making a donation.

GFS forecast 500hPa heights and pressure

GFS 500hPa heights and pressure, 16:00 BST Fri 24th May

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