Frozen In Time

Archived articles which have appeared on our homepage since May 7th 2014.

IMPORTANT : ARCHIVED CONTENT

Unsettled and milder this week  

[Updated 06:50 04/02/2019]

Umbrella

Monday starts with a band of wet and very windy weather pushing southeastwards across England. It sets the tone for the coming week with rain and strong winds, rather than snow and ice, being the main features of the weather in most of the UK. In the longer term there are signs of high pressure returning but temperatures will be determined by where it becomes centred....READ IN FULL

Monday starts wet and windy conditions in southern and eastern England. There are also outbreaks of rain and snow in central and northern Scotland. This morning the precipitation band in Scotland moves away eastwards to leave brighter skies. The rain in England clears from most areas too but it probably loiters in Kent and Essex until the early evening. Other areas have a dry day with sunny spells and winds ease. 

Temperatures range from a cold 3C (36F) in Scotland to a mild 12C (54F) in the south west. See the rain and precipitation type radar for the latest view.

Arpege forecast chart 1

Meteo France Arpege, rain - snow, 13:00 GMT Mon 4th February

Tonight clear spells lead to a widespread frost with the lowest temperatures in the north. Patchy fog also develops. Later in the night cloud builds and by the morning outbreaks of rain push into Northern Ireland and parts of western Britain.


Forecast short cuts

Monthly forecast update

GEFS snow row league [NEW]

Model inventory [NEW]

Buzz


Tomorrow wet weather affects much of the country. Outbreaks of rain are likely to be heavy in the north and west, and in Scotland they turn to snow over high ground. During the evening more persistent rain also moves eastwards across the southern half of the UK. The south west, Wales and Northern Ireland have quite a mild day but in other areas temperatures stay close to the February average. 

Arpege chart 2

Meteo France Arpege, rain - snow, 15:00 GMT Tue 5th February 

Changeable outlook

On Wednesday wet weather probably spreads eastwards across southern counties. Central and northern regions have a good deal of dry weather, although in the west there could be scattered showers. Over high ground in the north it remains cold enough for snow. 

The rest of the week brings unsettled conditions. Spells of wet and very windy weather affect all regions but there will be drier and brighter interludes too. Temperatures fluctuate between average and above average. In Scotland it will be cold enough at times for snow over the hills. 

In the longer term there are signs of high pressure building to the south of the UK. If that scenario happens it could lead to an early taste of spring.  

From Brian Gaze, TWO founder
Since establishing TheWeatherOutlook over 15 years ago the site has grown enormously and running costs have risen. I intend to continue expanding TWO and keeping it free if possible. If you find it useful and would like to contribute to its development please consider making a donation.

GFS forecast pressure and 500hPa heights

GFS pressure and 500hPa heights, 15:00 GMT Sat 9th February

{ADVERT}

Register for the TWO community

If you would like to join the TWO community please see how to register for the forum. People with all levels of meteorological knowledge are very welcome to apply.

Forecast tools

Check the latest satellite images, computer model charts and rain radar:

1981 - 2010 daily temperature charts

Temperature anomalies

DWD ICON forecast charts

EUMETSAT high resolution satellite images

Rain and precipitation type radar

Meteo France Arpege forecast charts

Global Forecast System (GFS) forecast charts

16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

After a cold start temperatures recover and become close to the average. Wet weather affects all areas on occassion. A low chance of much colder conditions returning is shown. View latest GEFS.



COMPUTER MODELS

INFO

Short range
Short to medium range
Medium to long range
Deterministic
Ensemble

See the Model inventory for the full list of model charts and data