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Sunday starts overcast in much of the country and there are showery outbreaks of rain around. Through the day a band of patchy rain moves southwards. Colder, brighter and showery conditions follow it into the north. This afternoon longer spells of rain affect northern and western Scotland, with snow likely over higher ground. In other areas it becomes mainly dry and brighter skies push down into central regions. It will be windy, particularly in the north.

Maximum temperatures range from 6C (41F) in northern Scotland to 13C (55F) in the south. See the rain radar for the latest view.

GFS, wind gusts, 15:00 GMT Sun 13th January

Tonight scattered showers continue in the north and at times they turn wintry. Southern and central regions stay dry. 

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Monthly forecast update

Winter 2018/19 forecast [Issued 01/12/2018]

Buzz

Tomorrow starts mainly dry but there will be a few wintry showers in the north. Later in the day thicker cloud spreads across the north, and wet weather pushes into western Scotland and possibly Northern Ireland. Afternoon temperatures won't be far off the seasonal average.

Meteo France Arpege, precipitation type, 14:00 GMT Mon 14th January

Changeable and often cold outlook

Mild conditions return on Tuesday. Outbreak of rain affect the north west but elsewhere it should be mostly dry and there could be some brighter spells. It will be windy.

During Wednesday a more organised band of rain clears southeastwards and colder conditions follow it. Showers develop and in the north they increasingly turn to snow, even at low levels. A strong wind makes it feel very cold in the north.

During Thursday and Friday there is quite a lot of uncertainty. Wet weather may push southeastwards and if that happens there is a risk of rain turning to snow, especially in the north where accumulations are possible even at low levels.

By the weekend rather cold and showery conditions probably return. Nighttime frosts become more widespread and the showers could turn wintry, especially in the north.

In the longer term it stays changeable and often cold. There is a growing risk of disruptive snowfall, particularly in the north. Conditions will be more marginal in the south, but snow is not ruled out, especially over high ground.

GFSP  pressure and 500hPa heights, 18:00 GMT Sat 19th January

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After a mild start temperatures drop. Later on the chance of wintry periods increases. View latest GEFS.