IMPORTANT : ARCHIVED CONTENT

Saturday starts windy and damp in much of the north, and in western Scotland there are some heavy outbreaks rain. During the rest of the day southern and eastern regions will be dry with variable amounts of cloud and sunny spells. The north and west stay mostly overcast with an ongoing risk of rain.

Maximum temperatures ranging from 14C (57F) in the north west to 23C (73F) in the south east and East Anglia. See the rain and lightning radar for the latest view

Meteo France Arpege, forecast rain, 16:00 BST Sat 18th August

Forecast short cuts

The month ahead - August

Winter 2018/19 weather

Tonight the remnants of tropical storm Ernesto push in from the Atlantic and bring heavy rain to the north west of the UK. Elsewhere it should be dry but it will become very windy in the west.

Tomorrow heavy spells of rain spread eastwards across much of the north and are followed by brighter conditions from the west during the afternoon. Southern and central areas as well as northern Scotland should miss the rain and stay dry. It will be windy in England and Wales.

GFS, forecast rain, 13:00 BST Sun 19th August

Very warm early next week

The first half of next week is looking mostly dry and settled in the much of the country but north may remain more changeable. It will become very warm in the south and maximum daytime temperatures could climb into the upper 20Cs.

After mid-week cooler and showery conditions probably push southeastwards. At this stage the Bank Holiday weekend is expected to be mostly dry in the south with close to average temperatures. The north will probably be more changeable and cooler with a greater risk of showers or longer spells of rain.

GFS, forecast pressure and precipitation, 16:00 BST Sat 25th August

Register for the TWO community

If you would like to join the TWO community please see how to register for the forum. People with all levels of meteorological knowledge are very welcome to apply. However if you're a meteorology (or related subject) student or recent graduate there may be an opportunity for you to earn some money next summer.

Forecast tools

Check the latest satellite images, computer model charts and rain radar:

1981 - 2010 daily temperature charts

Temperature anomalies

DWD ICON forecast charts

EUMETSAT high resolution satellite images

Rain and precipitation type radar

Meteo France Arpege forecast charts

Global Forecast System (GFS) forecast charts

16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

A changeable outlook is shown. A warm air mass spreads northwards during the early part of the period but cooler conditions return by 21st August. View latest GEFS.