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Monday starts fine in the southern half of the UK but in the north there are patchy outbreaks of rain. Through the day light rain continues to be a risk in the north and in the north west some heavier bursts are possible for a time. Southern and central regions have another hot and sunny day.

Temperatures range from 15C (59F) in western Scotland to 33C (91F) in East Anglia and the south eastern corner. See the rain and lightning radar for the latest view

DWD ICON, forecast temperatures, 16:00 BST Mon 6th August

Forecast short cuts

The month ahead - August

Winter 2018/19 weather

Tonight the cloudy conditions in the north slowly spread southeastwards into Wales and northern England. To the north it will be cooler and showery. To the south it's another dry but warm and muggy night.

Tomorrow southern, central and eastern England have a very warm day with sunny spells. There is likely to be more cloud than today and in the afternoon thunderstorms could break out in the south east. Northern and western areas have cloudier skies and scattered showers. Temperatures in the south probably exceed 30C (86F) for the last time this week.

GFS, forecast rain, 16:00 BST Tue 7th August

Cooler weather in all areas

By Wednesday the warmest air will have been pushed away eastwards into the continent. Despite that, temperatures of about 24C (75F) will feel pleasantly warm in sunny spells. Northern and western regions have a mix of sunshine and showers.  

On Thursday most of the UK has a fresh and breezy day with sunshine and showers. In the south east there is a risk of more prolonged spells of rain as an area of low pressure deepens over France and the Benelux countries. However there is uncertainty about that at the moment.   

During the rest of the week weather systems in the Atlantic affect the UK's weather in a way they haven't done for much of the summer. Temperatures are expected to be close to the seasonal average and by the weekend there is a risk of more widespread and prolonged periods of rain. 

GFS, forecast pressure and precipitation, 16:00 BST Fri 10th August

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16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

After a very warm start cooler conditions return to all regions and the risk of rain increases. During the middle of the month there is a signal for pressure to increase and temperatures to rise. View latest GEFS.