Frozen In Time

Archived articles which have appeared on our homepage since May 7th 2014.

IMPORTANT : ARCHIVED CONTENT

Dry and warm day for most

[Updated 08:20 19/07/2018]

Fine weather

The next few days could bring some showery rain to the south and in the north it will generally be more changeable. Next week different outcomes are possible, but some computer models show a "furnace heat" set-up next week as the UK sits between low pressure to the west and high pressure to the east....READ IN FULL

Thursday is off to a dry start and through the day bright spells develop in much of the country. There will be cloud around but sunny periods should be more widespread than they were yesterday. The exception is the north west of the UK where cloud increases and in the afternoon rain spreads into western Scotland.

Temperatures range from 18C (61F) in the far north west to 27C (81F) locally in England. See the rain and lightning radar for the latest view.

Arpege forecast chart

Meteo France Arpege, forecast temperatures, 16:00 BST Thu 19th July


Forecast short cuts

The month ahead - July 

Wimbledon tennis Hourly 16 day


Tonight heavy outbreaks of rain push southeastwards across Scotland and Northern Ireland. England and Wales remain dry and warm. 

Tomorrow the band of rain slowly pushes into Wales and northern England, and brighter conditions return behind it. Ahead of it very warm spells of sunshine develop but there is a risk of scattered thunderstorms breaking out in the afternoon. 

Arpege forecast chart  2

Meteo France Arpege, forecast rainfall, 18:00 BST Fri 20th July

Weekend weather 

Saturday may begin with showery rain in parts of the south but during the day it brightens up. Central and northern regions have a fine day. It will be pleasant in the north and in the south east temperatures could reach a very warm 28C (82F). 

Sunday is looking dry and warm in much of the country. Northern Ireland and western Scotland remain more mixed with cloudier skies and the risk of showery rain.   

GFS forecast chart 1

GFS, forecast pressure and rain, 16:00 BST Sun 22nd July

Into the furnace next week?

On Monday southern and central regions probably have mostly dry, warm and sunny conditions. In the north and west it is expected to be cloudier and wetter. 

Through the rest of the week forecast details are uncertain. Computer models are showing the possibility of the UK becoming sandwiched between areas of low pressure to the west and high pressure to the east. If that happens plumes of air from southern Europe and North Africa could bring the hottest conditions of the summer so far. However, an alternative scenario is for the low pressure to push farther east, bringing cooler and showery conditions back. The third outcome is for high pressure to build over the UK keeping things dry and very warm. 

{ADVERT}

Register for the TWO community

If you would like to join the TWO community please see how to register for the forum. People with all levels of meteorological knowledge are very welcome to apply. However if you're a meteorology (or related subject) student or recent graduate there may be an opportunity for you to earn some money next summer.

Forecast tools

Check the latest satellite images, computer model charts and rain radar:

1981 - 2010 daily temperature charts

Temperature anomalies

DWD ICON forecast charts

EUMETSAT high resolution satellite images

Rain and precipitation type radar

Meteo France Arpege forecast charts

Global Forecast System (GFS) forecast charts

16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

Southern counties have a good deal of dry and warm weather, although there is a weak signal for the risk of rain to increase late in the month. In the north a more changeable outlook is favoured. View latest GEFS.



COMPUTER MODELS

INFO

Short range
Short to medium range
Medium to long range
Deterministic
Ensemble

See the Model inventory for the full list of model charts and data