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Monday starts with a few showers in the south west but elsewhere it is dry. The rest of the day brings sunny periods to most of the UK but scattered showers continue to affect the south western peninsula. In the northern half of Scotland thicker cloud could produce a few spots of rain.  

It will be very warm or hot in most of the country with temperatures peaking close to 30C (86F) in the south, but it will be  cooler in the north east. See the rain and lightning radar for the latest view.

Meteo France Arpege, forecast temperatures, 17:00 BST Mon 2nd July

Forecast short cuts

The month ahead - July 

Silverstone F1

Wimbledon tennis Hourly - 16 day

This evening  showers in the south west fade away and it becomes dry. It will generally be fresher than last night.

Tomorrow it's a similar picture. Sunny periods develop but in the south there may be more cloud at times and in the south west showers remain a risk. Temperatures in the south ease a fraction but much of Scotland will be warmer than today. 

Meteo France Arpege, forecast cloud cover, 16:00 BST Tue 3rd July

Rest of the week

The middle part of the week brings spells of very warm sunshine but cloudier periods are expected too. A slack area of low pressure to the south of the UK produces scattered thundery showers but they will be hit and miss.

Through the second half of the week the Atlantic remains locked out. That means more fine and very warm weather but the chance of thunderstorms remains. If anything it becomes hotter by the weekend with temperatures in the south approaching 32C (90F).  

GFS, pressure and upper air temperatures, Sat 7th July

Heatwave continues next week?

Computer models are suggesting that high pressure will remain close to the UK next week. That brings the expectation of  more fine and very warm or hot weather. The possibility of thundery showers continues but at this stage there is little sign of a breakdown to a more typical and cooler Atlantic flow. If the current model simulations turn out to be correct comparisons to the first half of summer 1976 are likely. 

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Meteo France Arpege forecast charts

Global Forecast System (GFS) forecast charts

16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

Dry and very warm or hot weather is shown for much of the period. During the second week of July the risk of showery rain increases. View latest GEFS.