Archived articles which have appeared on our homepage since May 7th 2014.
[Updated 08:45 15/02/2018]
The next few days bring more settled weather to the southern half of the UK as high pressure builds. Next week the drier conditions spread northwards and towards the end of February a very cold easterly flow may become established.
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Thursday begins with wintry showers in the north west but elsewhere it is mostly dry. Through the day sunny spells develop widely but showers affect western areas and in the north west some of them will be heavy.
Temperatures range from 4C (39F) in the north to 10C (50F) in the south. See the rainfall and precipitation type radar for the latest view.
Tonight clear periods lead to a widespread frost. In the north west wintry showers continue and in places they could give a covering of snow.
Tomorrow much of the country has dry and chilly conditions but there will be wintry showers in the north west. During the second half of the day more persistent outbreaks of rain could spread across Northern Ireland and Scotland. Elsewhere cloud amounts increase but it remains dry.
On Saturday a band of showery rain pushes southeastwards and weakens. Sunday may bring more mixed weather with patchy spells of rain in the north and the south west, but other areas should be mostly dry. Temperatures will generally be close to the seasonal average in the south but it stays chilly in the north.
During the first half of week high pressure builds northwards across the UK. That brings the likelihood of nighttime frosts and chilly days but the air source won't be cold. By the second half of the week uncertainty increases. There are increasing signs of a long fetch easterly flow pulling bitterly cold air across continental Europe and towards the UK. That weather pattern is often called the "Beast from the East". However some computer model runs keep the cold air to the southeast of the UK and others quickly bring back a much milder southwesterly flow.
ECM 00z, surface pressure and 500hPa heights, 00 GMT, Sat 25th Feb
The increasing influence of high pressure and the possibility of cold blocks of air pushing across Europe during the next couple of weeks could be a result of the Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event that recently took place. That increases the risk of cold weather in the UK during the rest of February and the first half of March. However it is not assured because high pressure blocks could align in a way that leaves the UK under a mild south or southwesterly air mass.
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Meteo France Arpege
DWD ICON
NCEP GFS
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A good deal of dry weather is shown in the short term. By the end of the month a big spread of solutions is on offer and it may turn very cold. View latest GEFS.
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