Frozen In Time

Archived articles which have appeared on our homepage since May 7th 2014.

IMPORTANT : ARCHIVED CONTENT

Unsettled but colder later this week

[Updated 07:35 21/11/2017]

Flood sign

Very wet and windy weather affects much of the UK during the next couple of days. By Thursday colder air will be spreading southwards and the risk of snow could spread southwards this Saturday.

...READ IN FULL

Tuesday starts with a band of heavy rain affecting parts of northern England, southern Scotland and Northern Ireland. That marks the boundary between colder air to the north and much milder conditions to the south. 

Rain radar 07:00 GMT, 21st November

Rainfall radar, 07:00 GMT, Tues 21st November

During the course of the day outbreaks of rain spread across Scotland and into Wales and western England. In Northern Ireland it should turn drier. Central and eastern England remain drier but there will be a lot of cloud cover with just a few breaks.

Most of the UK has a mild day but in Scotland it will be colder. See the rainfall radar for the latest view.

Tonight winds strengthen across the southern half of the UK and outbreaks of rain spread into Wales and the west. In the north the rain eases off and dry periods develop. It stays very mild in southern and central areas.

Wet and windy Wednesday

Tomorrow a band of heavy rain in western areas extends into northern England and southern Scotland. Northern Ireland and Scotland remain under quite cold air but elsewhere it will be very mild with temperatures in East Anglia possibly reaching 16C (61F). The other feature of the weather will be the strong winds with gales or even severe gales in the west and possibly northern England.

Meteo France Arpege wind gust chart for 15:00 GMT, Wednesday 22nd November

Meteo France Arpege 00z 21st November, wind gust for 15:00 GMT, Wed 22nd November

Thursday and Friday

During Thursday brighter conditions return and colder air starts sinking southwards. Showers develop across Scotland and they turn wintry. Through the second half of the day cloud and outbreaks of rain push eastwards across southern counties.

Friday will be cold and bright in the north with wintry showers. In the south further spells of rain are expected.

Wintry weekend

Forecasts details for the weekend are still uncertain. An area of low pressure deepening to the south west could bring outbreaks of rain to southern and central regions. As colder air filters in from the northwest the rain may turn to snow on its northern and western edges.

The GFS precipitation type chart for 12:00GMT, Saturday 25th November. Snow is indicated by white hatching.

GFS 00z precipitation type chart for 12:00GMT, Saturday 25th November

GFS 00z, 21st November, precipitation type for 12:00 GMT, Sat 25th November

Northern regions have a cold day with wintry showers. Sunday is looking cold and mostly dry, although late in the day cloud and patchy rain, sleet or snow could push into the north west.

TWO news

Buzz looks at the likelihood of unsettled weather. TWO's fourth winter discussion update has been issued. The winter forecast covering December, January and February will be issued at the end of this month.

Christmas countdown

TWO's annual Christmas Countdown continues.

16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

Colder conditions spread southwards in the next few days. The rest of November and early December look rather cold and changeable. View latest GEFS.



COMPUTER MODELS

INFO

Short range
Short to medium range
Medium to long range
Deterministic
Ensemble

See the Model inventory for the full list of model charts and data