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Monday begins damp in much of the UK and across Scotland and south eastern England there are some heavier outbreaks of rain. Through the day rain in the north spreads eastwards and it becomes lighter from the west. Elsewhere there will be drizzle but drier and possibly brighter periods too.  

Most of the UK has a mild day with temperatures reaching 12C (54F) but in northern Scotland it will be colder. See the rainfall radar for the latest view.

Tonight wet weather spreads across northern regions. Southern and central regions remain mostly dry and mild.

Tomorrow wet weather affects Scotland and parts of Northern Ireland. During the course of the day another band of rain pushes into western and possibly central areas. It will become windy, especially in the north.

Meteo France Arpege 00z, 20th November, wind gust speeds for 22:00GMT, Tues 21st November

Wild and mild mid week

Through Wednesday it remains unsettled. A band of rain is expected to spread eastwards across England and Wales. It is likely to become very windy in the south with gales or even severe gales in the south west. Scotland and Northern Ireland probably remain colder and brighter.

The unsettled weather continues on Thursday with rain mostly in the north and west. It stays very mild in most of the country with temperatures in the south close to 15C (59F).

Cold air returning southwards

By Friday low pressure begins pulling away into Scandinavia. That allows colder air to push down from the northwest but across the southern half of the UK it probably will still be quite mild.

On Saturday central and northern regions have a cold day with wintry showers. An area of rain could push eastwards across southern and central regions and there is an outside chance of that turning to sleet or snow on its northern edge as colder air spreads southwards. The GFS precipitation type chart for 09:00GMT, Saturday 25th November. Snow is indicated by white hatching.

GFS 00z, 20th November, precipitation type for 09GMT, Sat 25th November

TWO news

Buzz looks at the likelihood of unsettled weather. TWO's fourth winter discussion update has been issued. The winter forecast covering December, January and February will be issued at the end of this month.

Christmas countdown

TWO's annual Christmas Countdown continues.

16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

Mild weather is shown in the next few days but beyond that temperatures trend downwards and at times rather cold conditions are favoured. It remains changeable. View latest GEFS.