UK Seasonal Outlook

The seasonal forecast is updated every three months. Spring - March 1st, Summer - June 1st, Autumn - September 1st, Winter - December 1st.

Spring 2022: Milder and slightly wetter than average

Forecast Issued 28/02/2022

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered.

Forecast overview

A milder than average spring is expected, although some cold periods are still expected early on.

Temperature

Temperatures are forecast to be above the 1981-2010 average.

Precipitation

Rainfall levels are forecast to be slightly above average.

March

Temperature:

Close to or slightly above average.

Precipitation:

Close to or slightly above average.

First half

Changeable weather is expected with all regions seeing wet and windy spells, but also more settled interludes which lead to a risk of frost and fog. Temperatures fluctuate and at times it will be quite cold. There is a risk of some snow in the northern half of the UK and particularly over high ground. Towards the end of the period the trend is towards significantly milder conditions.

Second half

Close to or above average temperatures for much of the time, so in the south during drier spells it may feel quite pleasant. However, rather unsettled weather is expected to continue with showers or longer spells of rain in all regions. Despite the mild conditions overall some colder periods are still possible. Therefore, in the north it may be cold enough for snow over high ground and even down to low levels at times.

 



 

April

Temperature:

Slightly above average.

Precipitation:

Slightly above average.

First half

Mixed weather with heavy showers or more persistent outbreaks of rain at times. Temperatures varying significantly with colder and milder than average spells. It may still be cold enough at times for showers to turn wintry in the north with sleet or snow over higher ground. Occasional frosts are also likely.

Second half

Changeable, but temperatures over the period as a whole are expected to be slightly above the seasonal average. As the forecast period progresses there may be an increasing chance of drier and warmer spells of weather, particularly in southern and central regions.

May

Temperature:

Slightly above average.

Precipitation

Slightly below average.

First half

Rather changeable weather is forecast early on with showers or longer spells of rain and close to average temperatures. Towards the middle of the month increasingly dry and warmer conditions are more likely, especially in the south and east.

Second half

Warmer than average for much of the period, with a good deal of dry and increasingly sunny weather. Despite that, some less settled and cooler spells are possible and they lead to showers or longer spells of rain in all regions.

From Brian Gaze, TWO founder
Since establishing TheWeatherOutlook over 15 years ago the site has grown enormously and running costs have risen. I intend to continue expanding TWO and keeping it free if possible. If you find it useful and would like to contribute to its development please consider making a donation.

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