The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from global forecasting models and our own analysis.

October weather: Quite unsettled but drier spells in the south

Forecast Issued 30/09/2017


Close to or slightly above average.


Above average generally but driest in the south east.



1/10 to 7/10

Unsettled start but the chance of dry periods increases.

Spells of wet and windy weather affect all regions during the first few days. Thereafter the likelihood of dry days increases in southern and central regions, but the north probably remains changeable. Temperatures remain close to the seasonal average.

8/10 to 14/10


A changeable theme is expected but southern and central regions probably have a good deal of dry weather. Wet and windy spells are more likely in the northern half of the UK and particularly in the north west. Temperatures should be close to the average in the north. In the south some chilly nights are possible but daytime temperatures are likely to be close to the average.

15/10 to 31/10

Unsettled. [Forecast confidence is low]

Often unsettled weather is expected, especially in the north, frequently bringing outbreaks of rain and strong winds. Some drier and quieter spells are likely too with the best of them in the south. Temperatures are forecast to be close to the seasonal average for much of the time but during more settled periods there is a risk of nighttime frosts.

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.


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