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Offline Matty H  
#1 Posted : 12 February 2012 11:14:59(UTC)
Matty H

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Winter draws to a close as far as the MetO is concerned, so let's not bore with that pedantic argument again. Time for a new thread.

Keep it on topic please. Usual rules apply.
Yate, Nr Bristol


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Offline sriram  
#2 Posted : 12 February 2012 12:04:49(UTC)
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I would say we definitely in for a cold spring and largely unsettled - we are going to have till the second half of April for a sizeable warm up of spring warmth - that is to reach a temp of 14 or 15c by day
Sriram
Sedgley, West Midlands ( just south of Wolverhampton )
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DaveinHull  
#3 Posted : 12 February 2012 12:23:30(UTC)
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Last Spring, or more precisely April raised the bar so high in terms of sunshine and warmth. It was the warmest every Spring, so we are 99% guaranteed a colder Spring than last year.


I feel this coming March will see the battle continuing between the cold block to the east and milder Atlantic air trying to assert itself. Therefore it could be quite a wet month for the NW, drier and colder the further SE you are.


For the rest of Spring i would say rainfall will be approacing what we would expect, so not as HP dominated as last year. And temperatures will be a little above average.


CET precictions


March 5.9c


April 8.4c


May 11.9c

Offline Gavin D  
#4 Posted : 12 February 2012 12:23:53(UTC)
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Yes finally winter is drawing to a close and spring is almost here I would love to have another spring like last year that would be great, and to be honest I wouldn't bet against this spring having temperatures above normal.


Offline LeedsLad123  
#5 Posted : 12 February 2012 12:57:41(UTC)
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It's been a while since we've had a cold, wintry Spring, 2008 was our last proper March snowfall here, since then, snow in March has been unusually absent.


 


Anyway, let's leave the Spanish plumes until they actually have any use, say, May? Looking forward to the storms already 

Edited by user 12 February 2012 13:00:03(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Offline Gavin P  
#6 Posted : 12 February 2012 14:52:31(UTC)
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CFS suggests we lose a lot of the northern blocking in March and April;


http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfs_fcst/images3/glbz700Mon.gif 


With high pressure generally favoured to the west and south-west. If these pressure amoms come off March and April might not be too bad at all.

Rural West Northants 120m asl
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Offline Gavin D  
#7 Posted : 12 February 2012 14:52:56(UTC)
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My predicitions for spring 2012


March

Above average temperatures UK wide,

Above average rain in the North, normal amounts in the south

April

Temperatures close to or just above average UK wide

Above average rain in the North, normal amounts in the south

May

Above average temperatures UK wide

Well below normal rain fall

Brummie Snowman  
#8 Posted : 12 February 2012 18:52:38(UTC)
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A snowy Easter in 2012 would make a nice contrast to the very warm and sunny Easter in 2011.
Offline Gooner  
#9 Posted : 12 February 2012 19:07:03(UTC)
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A below average Spring


March 


Below average temperatures UK wide


Wintry ppn never too far away during the whole of the month, a surprise disruptive snowfall possible

April

Temperatures close to average UK wide


Rain more extensive in the South, wintry further North

May

Average temperatures UK wide

Wet spells quite frequent across the UK

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun

Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
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Offline Caz  
#10 Posted : 12 February 2012 21:49:14(UTC)
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I have a feeling there will be more snow flurries to come in March and it will be slow to warm up.


April will get off to a cool start but will bring warm sunshine towards the middle and end.


May will be very warm, sunny and dry.


And - pigs might fly! 

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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Offline light without heat  
#11 Posted : 13 February 2012 07:56:52(UTC)
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Yep I can't wait to sort the garden out, get the roof down on the the car and have cheaper bills  -roll on please 

Chris - Hull, East Yorkshire
DaveinHull  
#12 Posted : 13 February 2012 16:15:53(UTC)
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Dare i say it even felt a bit like Spring today for brief periods in the sun and out of the wind. The increasing light levels are getting really quite noticeable, as is the strength of the sun. Just a pity there have been quite a number of showers around.

Offline Gavin D  
#13 Posted : 13 February 2012 17:59:58(UTC)
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The met office's probability maps have updated for February, they cover spring from March to May


850hpa temperature


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/images/prob_ensemble/20120201/3up_20120201_t850_months24_europe_prob_public.png


Precipitation


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/images/prob_ensemble/20120201/3up_20120201_prec_months24_europe_prob_public.png


Pressure


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/images/prob_ensemble/20120201/3up_20120201_mslp_months24_europe_prob_public.png

patricia  
#14 Posted : 13 February 2012 22:49:38(UTC)
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Its my hunch that its going to be a cool spring which suits me just fine


Hope we get some decent rainfall but have a hunch we wont

Edited by user 13 February 2012 23:00:24(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Offline Snow Hoper  
#15 Posted : 13 February 2012 22:52:03(UTC)
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A snowy cold March followed by a just below ave April with plenty of 'April showers and a cool wet May


Dont shoot just yet

By the time you realise your parents were right, your kids already think that you're wrong!
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Offline North Sea Snow Convection  
#16 Posted : 13 February 2012 22:52:24(UTC)
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A cold wintry Spring would be most welcome

Offline LeedsLad123  
#17 Posted : 13 February 2012 22:54:08(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: North Sea Snow Convection Go to Quoted Post


A cold wintry Spring would be most welcome



Anything to keep the thunderstorms at bay? 

Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Offline Gavin D  
#18 Posted : 14 February 2012 10:04:41(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Snow Hoper Go to Quoted Post


A snowy cold March followed by a just below ave April with plenty of 'April showers and a cool wet May


Dont shoot just yet



A cool spring, well the CFS charts currently show anything but a cool spring,


http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfs_fcst/images3/euT2mProbMon.gif


http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfs_fcst/images3/euT2mProbSea.gif - 3 monthly


http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfs_fcst/images3/euPrecProbMon.gif - Precipitation



Offline wallaw  
#19 Posted : 14 February 2012 10:08:54(UTC)
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I have no idea what the weather is going to do and I am not sure anyone else can make much more of a guess, but my gut feel is that we are due a very wet spring some time soon and it could just be this one.


March: Cooler than average but mainly dry


April: Just above average but with a lot of rain


May: Wet start, dry and warm end

Ian


Stockton-on-Tees

Offline LeedsLad123  
#20 Posted : 14 February 2012 11:40:59(UTC)
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I remember last year when people were doubting whether summer 2011 would be good given spring 2011 was following the same route as spring 2007 - and their fears were proved correct. 

Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
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